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Chelsea FC Women - Manchester City Women: our prediction

10/05/2026•16:30

Chelsea FC Women

2:3

(1:0)

Finished AET

ap. 2 - 2

Manchester City Women

Chelsea FC Women vs Manchester City Women Preview — Women's FA Cup

Chelsea FC Women, the favorite, faces Manchester City Women in the FA Cup. Chelsea shows solid form with a 70% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Manchester City has a balanced record. Both teams have a strong tendency to score, but Chelsea appears more dominant at home.

Our Chelsea FC Women vs Manchester City Women predictions

Chelsea FC Women to Win

Chelsea is the favorite with odds of 2.0. In their last 10 matches, they have 7 wins (70%), including 7 as favorites. At home, their form is even stronger. Manchester City also has 7 wins, but Chelsea plays at home and has a better 'victoir' performance indicator (70% vs 70%, but Chelsea is favorite). The trend is for a Chelsea victory.

1.95

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 1.5 Goals in the Match

The 'over15' indicator shows that Chelsea has had over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%), and Manchester City in 6 (60%). The overall trend is very strong for this match, with a high probability of seeing at least 2 goals. Both teams have prolific attacks.

1.2

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both Teams to Score

The 'bts' indicator for Chelsea is 80% (8/10), but for Manchester City it is only 30% (3/10). Although Chelsea is very strong offensively, Manchester City has a solid defense that could limit goals. However, Manchester City's offensive quality (with Shaw and Miedema) could surprise Chelsea. The bet is risky but potentially rewarding.

1.62

Confidence

Medium (50 %)

Market signals on Chelsea FC Women vs Manchester City Women

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Chelsea FC Women vs Manchester City Women Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Chelsea FC Women	Manchester City Women
Win	7 2 1	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	100%	100%
Win by being a favorite	78%	78%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	60% 40%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	30% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	60% 40%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	60% 40%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	60%
2nd half	40%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Samantha Kerr	100% (6/6)	86% (6/7)	Khadija Shaw
Lauren James	38% (3/8)	43% (3/7)	Kerolin
Erin Cuthbert	25% (2/8)	40% (2/5)	Aoba Fujino
Sjoeke Nuesken	25% (2/8)	50% (2/4)	Vivianne Miedema
Ellie Carpenter	17% (1/6)	29% (2/7)	Laura Coombs
Alexia Potter	13% (1/8)	20% (1/5)	Yui Hasegawa
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	20% (1/5)	17% (1/6)	Rebecca Knaak
Veerle Buurman	13% (1/8)	14% (1/7)	Kerstin Casparij
Alyssa Thompson	13% (1/8)	25% (1/4)	Mary Fowler
Naomi Girma	25% (1/4)	14% (1/7)	Jade Rose
		14% (1/7)	Lauren Hemp

Total goals per player

	1	2
Samantha Kerr	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	Khadija Shaw
Lauren James	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Vivianne Miedema
Sjoeke Nuesken	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Kerolin
Erin Cuthbert	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Aoba Fujino
Alexia Potter	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Lauren Hemp
Naomi Girma	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Laura Coombs
Ellie Carpenter	⚽1	⚽1	Mary Fowler
Alyssa Thompson	⚽1	⚽1	Jade Rose
Johanna Rytting Kaneryd	⚽1	⚽1	Yui Hasegawa
Veerle Buurman	⚽1	⚽1	Kerstin Casparij
		⚽1	Rebecca Knaak

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	70%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	50%	60%
Over corners 9.5	40%	60%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	50%
Over corners 12.5	30%	50%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	60%	70%
Over corners 3.5	50%	70%
Over corners 4.5	50%	70%
Over corners 5.5	40%	50%
Over corners 6.5	20%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	50%	40%
1.5	30%	20%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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