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Motherwell - Hearts: our prediction

09/05/2026•21:00

Motherwell

1:1

(1:1)

Finished

Hearts

Motherwell vs Hearts Preview — Premiership Championship Group

Premiership Championship Group match between Motherwell and Hearts. Hearts are favorites with odds of 2.4 and have won 7 of their last 10 matches. Motherwell, at home, have won only once in their last 10 outings. Both teams have shown a tendency to score (50% of matches for both).

Our Motherwell vs Hearts predictions

Motherwell scores under 1.5 goals

Motherwell have shown notable offensive weakness. In their last 10 matches, the team has scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10). Additionally, Hearts have a good defense, keeping a clean sheet in 40% of their matches (4/10). Motherwell's tendency to score few goals, combined with Hearts' defensive solidity, makes this bet very solid.

1.5

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches. Hearts have seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches (7/10). Motherwell also have a similar trend with 50% of their matches under 3.5 goals. Combined with Hearts' defensive solidity (4 clean sheets in 10 matches) and Motherwell's offensive weakness (only 2 matches with more than 2.5 goals for the team), a match with under 3.5 goals is very likely.

1.3

Confidence

High (65 %)

Hearts Victory

Hearts are in excellent form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, while Motherwell have won only once in the same period. Hearts have a 70% win rate in their last 10 matches, compared to only 30% for Motherwell. Furthermore, Hearts have a 75% win rate (6/8) when they are favorites, which strengthens their position. The odds (2.4 for Hearts vs 2.63 for Motherwell) confirm the favor for the away team.

2.35

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Motherwell vs Hearts

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Motherwell vs Hearts Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Motherwell	Hearts
Win	3 1 6	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	50%	88%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	100%
Win by being a favorite	33%	75%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	50%
Win by being an outsider	33%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	10%	40%
2nd half	50%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Lukas Fadinger	22% (2/9)	63% (5/8)	Lawrence Shankland
Elliot Watt	20% (2/10)	30% (3/10)	Claudio Braga
Emmanuel Longelo	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Blair Spittal
Liam Gordon	11% (1/9)	17% (1/6)	Cameron Devlin
Elijah Just	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Stephen Kingsley
Callum Slattery	13% (1/8)	25% (1/4)	Oisin McEntee
Tawanda Maswanhise	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Frankie Kent
		10% (1/10)	Pierre Landry Kabore

Total goals per player

	1	2
Emmanuel Longelo	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Lawrence Shankland
Elliot Watt	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Claudio Braga
Lukas Fadinger	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Blair Spittal
Elijah Just	⚽1	⚽1	Cameron Devlin
Liam Gordon	⚽1	⚽1	Oisin McEntee
Tawanda Maswanhise	⚽1	⚽1	Stephen Kingsley
Callum Slattery	⚽1	⚽1	Frankie Kent
		⚽1	Pierre Landry Kabore

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	100%
Over corners 7.5	60%	100%
Over corners 8.5	40%	90%
Over corners 9.5	40%	90%
Over corners 10.5	30%	60%
Over corners 11.5	10%	20%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	90%
Over corners 3.5	70%	80%
Over corners 4.5	60%	60%
Over corners 5.5	30%	50%
Over corners 6.5	20%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	90%	50%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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