Chelsea - Manchester City: our prediction
16/05/2026•16:00
Chelsea
0:1
(0:0)
Finished
Manchester City
-
1
-
X
-
2
Chelsea vs Manchester City Preview — FA Cup
Chelsea hosts Manchester City in the FA Cup. City is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.65. Statistics show City's overwhelming dominance, with an 80% win rate in their last 10 matches. Chelsea, on the other hand, is in deep crisis, having failed to win any of their last 10 matches. City's attack is prolific, while Chelsea struggles to score. Potential injuries and absences were not specified in the provided data.
Our Chelsea vs Manchester City predictions
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Manchester City has a very strong attack. In their last 10 matches, they have scored at least 2 goals in 80% of cases (8 out of 10 matches). Their matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 90% of cases (9 out of 10 matches). Even if Chelsea struggles to score, City's offensive power alone almost guarantees that the match will total more than 1.5 goals. This bet is consistent with the City win and Chelsea's poor offensive performance.
1.2
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Under 1.5 goals for Chelsea
Chelsea has a very weak attack. In their last 10 matches, they have scored more than 1.5 goals only once (10%). They have even been unable to score a single goal in 6 of those matches (60%). Facing a Manchester City defense that has kept a clean sheet 6 times in 10, it is very likely that Chelsea will score less than 2 goals. This bet is complementary to the City win.
1.65
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Manchester City Win
Manchester City is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.65. Their recent form is exceptional with 8 wins in 10 matches (80% success rate). As a favorite, they have won 7 out of 9 times (78%). Chelsea is in crisis, without a win in their last 10 matches and with 7 losses. City also has an excellent defensive record, with 6 clean sheets in 10 matches. The trend is very strongly in favor of a City victory.
1.73
Confidence
Very high (80 %)
Market signals on Chelsea vs Manchester City
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chelsea vs Manchester City Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 2 1 7 | 8 1 1 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 29% | 89% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 25% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 29% | 78% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 20% 80% | 40% 20% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 20% 80% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernandez | 33% (3/9) | 56% (5/9) | Erling Haaland |
| Andrey Santos | 20% (2/10) | 40% (4/10) | Jeremy Doku |
| Joao Pedro | 25% (2/8) | 33% (3/9) | Antoine Semenyo |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Omar Marmoush |
| Cole Palmer | 11% (1/9) | 14% (1/7) | Nico Gonzalez |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | 13% (1/8) | 10% (1/10) | Rayan Cherki |
| Estevao | 33% (1/3) | 10% (1/10) | Savinho |
| Jorrel Hato | 10% (1/10) | 13% (1/8) | Nico O'Reilly |
11% (1/9) | Marc Guehi |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Fernandez | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Jeremy Doku |
| Joao Pedro | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Erling Haaland |
| Andrey Santos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Antoine Semenyo |
| Estevao | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Omar Marmoush |
| Cole Palmer | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Rayan Cherki |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Savinho |
| Alejandro Garnacho | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Marc Guehi |
| Jorrel Hato | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nico Gonzalez |
⚽1 | Nico O'Reilly |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 80% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 80% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 70% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 3.5 | 90% | 90% |
Over corners 4.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 5.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 60% | 50% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 10% |
4.5 | 10% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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