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Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Plovdiv: our prediction

16/05/2026•18:00

Arda Kardzhali

4:0

(3:0)

Finished

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Preview — First Professional League ECL Group

Arda Kardzhali, the home favorite with odds of 1.6, faces Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Arda has won 4 of their last 10 matches, while Lokomotiv has won 5. Both teams show a tendency to score under 2.5 goals, with relatively solid defenses.

Our Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. Combined with Lokomotiv Plovdiv's solid defense (5 clean sheets in 10 matches), it is likely that Arda will not exceed 1 goal. This prediction is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet and Arda's victory.

1.6

Confidence

High (65 %)

Arda Kardzhali to win

Arda Kardzhali is the favorite with odds of 1.6 and plays at home. Although Lokomotiv Plovdiv has a better win record (5 vs 4), Arda has shown better recent form as a favorite, not losing in 4 of their last 6 matches as a favorite. Analysis of Arda's home performances strengthens this prediction.

1.19

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals

Arda Kardzhali has seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 8 of their last 10. Both teams have relatively solid defenses, and the odds favor a low-scoring match. Analysis of offensive performances shows a low average of goals scored per match for both teams.

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Arda Kardzhali	Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Win	4 2 4	5 3 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	40%
Win by being a favorite	50%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	50%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	25%	60%
Win by being an outsider	25%	60%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	40% 60%	30% 40%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	20%
2nd half	50%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Calal Huseynov	25% (2/8)	67% (4/6)	Joel Zwarts
Dimitar Velkovski	13% (1/8)	33% (2/6)	Sevi Idriz
Birsent Karagaren	13% (1/8)	33% (2/6)	Andrei Chindris
Serkan Yusein	13% (1/8)	40% (2/5)	Catalin Itu
Lachezar Kotev	14% (1/7)	14% (1/7)	Georgi Chorbadzhiyski
Antonio Vutov	14% (1/7)	17% (1/6)	Lucas Ryan

Total goals per player

	1	2
Antonio Vutov	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6	Joel Zwarts
Calal Huseynov	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Lucas Ryan
Birsent Karagaren	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽2	Catalin Itu
Dimitar Velkovski	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Sevi Idriz
Lachezar Kotev	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Andrei Chindris
Serkan Yusein	⚽1	⚽1	Georgi Chorbadzhiyski

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	80%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	70%
Over corners 9.5	30%	50%
Over corners 10.5	10%	30%
Over corners 11.5	10%	10%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	60%
Over corners 3.5	40%	50%
Over corners 4.5	40%	40%
Over corners 5.5	30%	20%
Over corners 6.5	30%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	70%	70%
1.5	50%	60%
2.5	30%	20%
3.5	0%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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