Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna: our prediction
16/05/2026•18:00
Botev Plovdiv
5:0
(1:0)
Finished
Cherno More Varna
-
1
-
X
-
2
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Preview — First Professional League ECL Group
Tight match between Botev Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna in the First Professional League ECL Group. Cherno More is slightly favored (odds at 2.55) and has shown better recent form with 5 wins in 10 matches. Botev Plovdiv, at home, has a more mixed record (4 wins). Both teams struggle to score often, with a low 'Both Teams to Score' rate (30% for Botev, 20% for Cherno More). Matches tend to stay under 2.5 goals (60% for each team).
Our Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics show a strong trend towards low-scoring matches for both teams. Botev Plovdiv has seen under 2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches, and Cherno More Varna also in 60%. Both teams have a less prolific attack (Botev averages 1.4 goals per game, Cherno More 1.2) and relatively solid defenses (Botev concedes 1.1, Cherno More 0.9). The odds for this market are attractive and in line with historical data.
1.6
Confidence
High (65%)
Cherno More Varna - Under 1.5 goals
Cherno More Varna has shown poor offensive ability away from home, with an average of less than 1 goal scored. Additionally, Botev Plovdiv at home has a defense that concedes few goals (1.1 per game on average). Statistics indicate that Cherno More scores under 1.5 goals in 70% of its last 10 matches. Combined with Botev's defensive solidity, this bet seems very solid.
1.57
Confidence
High (65%)
Draw
The balance of power and the trend towards low scores make a draw very likely. Both teams have a similar number of wins and losses recently. Botev Plovdiv drew 20% of its last 10 matches, Cherno More also 20%. The odds of 3.02 for the draw are high and reflect a good risk/reward ratio, especially since matches between teams of similar level in this league often end in a share of the points.
2.95
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Statistics
Win
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 2 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 60% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 40% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 60% | 60% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 40% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 50% 50% | 70% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 30% 70% | 20% 30% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Chagas | 40% (4/10) | 30% (3/10) | Asen Chandarov |
| Todor Nedelev | 50% (3/6) | 38% (3/8) | Asen Donchev |
| Enock Kwateng | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | Vasil Panayotov |
| Nikola Iliev | 22% (2/9) | 11% (1/9) | David Teles |
| Simeon Petrov | 13% (1/8) | ||
| Nikola Soldo | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Samuel Kalu | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Pedro Igor | 25% (1/4) | ||
| Samuil Tsonov | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Carlos Meotti | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin Chagas | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Asen Donchev |
| Todor Nedelev | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Asen Chandarov |
| Samuel Kalu | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Vasil Panayotov |
| Enock Kwateng | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | David Teles |
| Nikola Iliev | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Pedro Igor | ⚽1 | ||
| Carlos Meotti | ⚽1 | ||
| Nikola Soldo | ⚽1 | ||
| Samuil Tsonov | ⚽1 | ||
| Simeon Petrov | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 70% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 10% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 40% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 100% | 50% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 50% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 0% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 100% |
2.5 | 60% | 60% |
3.5 | 30% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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