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Machida Zelvia - Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC: our prediction

21/04/2026•18:15

Machida Zelvia

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC Preview — AFC Champions League Elite Final Stage

Machida Zelvia hosts Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC in the AFC Champions League Elite. Bookmakers give a slight advantage to the Japanese home team. Recent statistics show two teams with contrasting profiles: Machida is defensively solid but not prolific in attack, while Shabab Al-Ahli is more offensive but less consistent.

Our Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC predictions

Machida Zelvia - Under 1.5 goals (team)

The data is extremely clear: Machida Zelvia has scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). The team managed to score more than one goal in only one of its last 10 matches. With a main striker like Sang-Ho Na (3 goals in 10 matches), offensive power is limited. Facing a team from Abu Dhabi that can defend (3 clean sheets in 10), it is very likely that Machida will not score more than one goal.

1.4

Confidence

Very high

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC - Over 0.5 goals (team)

Shabab Al-Ahli has scored at least one goal in 9 of its last 10 matches (90%). The team has dangerous attackers like Yuri Cesar (6 goals) and Saeid Ezatolahi (3 goals). Machida Zelvia, although defensively solid, conceded at least one goal in 4 of its last 10 matches. The Emirati offensive capability, combined with the need to score to hope for an away result, makes this scenario likely. This bet is compatible with a narrow Machida win (e.g., 1-0, 1-1).

1.47

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Machida Zelvia has recorded under 2.5 goals in 7 of its last 10 matches (70%). The team shows solid defense (6 clean sheets in 10) but limited attack (only 1 match with over 1.5 goals scored). Shabab Al-Ahli, although more offensive, plays away and faces a well-organized Japanese team. First-half statistics (9/10 matches with under 1.5 goals at half-time for both teams) suggest a cautious start.

1.49

Confidence

High

Market signals on Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Machida Zelvia vs Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Machida Zelvia	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC
Win	5 3 2	5 3 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	89%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	25%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	25%	50%
Win by being a favorite	33%	56%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	75%	0%
Win by being an outsider	75%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	20% 80%	60% 20%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	10% 90%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	50% 50%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	0%
2nd half	30%	90%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	40% 60%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	100%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ibrahim Dresevic	40% (4/10)	100% (5/5)	Yuri Cesar
Tete Yengi	33% (3/9)	100% (3/3)	Saeid Ezatolahi
Kosei Tani	30% (3/10)	67% (2/3)	Mateusao
Erik	30% (3/10)	100% (1/1)	Sardar Azmoun
Hokuto Shimoda	20% (2/10)	33% (1/3)	Renan Victor
Shota Fujio	20% (2/10)
Sang-Ho Na	20% (2/10)
Neta Lavi	17% (1/6)
Yuki Soma	33% (1/3)
Yuta Nakayama	14% (1/7)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ibrahim Dresevic	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Yuri Cesar
Tete Yengi	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Saeid Ezatolahi
Sang-Ho Na	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Mohammad Juma
Erik	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Mateusao
Hokuto Shimoda	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Renan Victor
Kosei Tani	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Sardar Azmoun
Shota Fujio	⚽⚽2
Yuki Soma	⚽1
Neta Lavi	⚽1
Yuta Nakayama	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	50%	0%
Over corners 7.5	20%	0%
Over corners 8.5	10%	0%
Over corners 9.5	10%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	50%	0%
Over corners 3.5	30%	0%
Over corners 4.5	30%	0%
Over corners 5.5	20%	0%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	20%
1.5	40%	20%
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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