Lommel - FC Liege: our prediction
23/04/2026•20:30
Lommel
3:0
(2:0)
Finished
FC Liege
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lommel vs FC Liege Preview — Challenger Pro League Promotion Playoff
Lommel hosts FC Liège in the Challenger Pro League promotion playoffs. Lommel is the bookmakers' favorite with odds of 1.66. In their last 10 matches, Lommel has achieved 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while FC Liège has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Recent statistics show that both teams score regularly, but defenses are often vulnerable.
Our Lommel vs FC Liege predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, Lommel has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10), and FC Liège also in 60% of cases (6/10). Defenses are unreliable: Lommel kept a clean sheet only 10% of the time (1/10), FC Liège 10% (1/10). Lommel's attack scored at least one goal in 70% of matches (7/10 for over 0.5 goals/team), FC Liège's in 70% (7/10). The trend is strong for an open match with goals from both sides.
1.62
Confidence
High
Lommel - Over 0.5 goals
Lommel, at home and as the favorite, has scored at least one goal in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10 for over 0.5 goals/team). Its attack is led by Ralf Seuntjens (5 goals). Facing a FC Liège defense that kept a clean sheet only 10% of its recent matches, the probability of Lommel scoring is very high. This bet is consistent with the 'Both teams to score' and 'Over 2.5 goals' predictions.
1.14
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show that Lommel exceeded 2.5 total goals in 50% of cases (5/10), and FC Liège in 60% of cases (6/10). The average goals per match is high. Lommel scored at least 1 goal in 70% of matches (over 0.5/team) and FC Liège as well. The combination of effective attacks and fragile defenses (rare clean sheets) favors a match with more than 2 goals. The 'Both teams to score' bet reinforces this hypothesis.
1.67
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Lommel vs FC Liege
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lommel vs FC Liege Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 2 4 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 50% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 67% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite | 57% | 83% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 60% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 50% 50% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 60% |
2nd half | 70% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ralf Seuntjens | 100% (4/4) | ||
| Lucas Schoofs | 100% (4/4) | ||
| Zalan Vancsa | 100% (3/3) | ||
| Sam De Grand | 100% (2/2) | ||
| Jason van Duiven | 100% (2/2) | ||
| Tom Reyners | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Jhon Banguera | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Mohamed El Boukammiri | 50% (1/2) | ||
| Dries Wouters | 50% (1/2) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ralf Seuntjens | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽2 | Alexis Lefebvre |
| Zalan Vancsa | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Kylian Hazard |
| Lucas Schoofs | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽1 | Frederic Soelle Soelle |
| Sam De Grand | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Damien Mouchamps |
| Jason van Duiven | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jonathan D'Ostilio |
| Dries Wouters | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Pierre-Yves Ngawa |
| Mohamed El Boukammiri | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Abian Arslan |
| Tom Reyners | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jordan Bustin |
| Jhon Banguera | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Kays Ruiz-Atil |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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