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AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol: our prediction

06/05/2026•18:00

AEK Larnaca

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Apollon Limassol

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol Preview — Cyprus League Championship Playoff

AEK Larnaca, the favorite, faces Apollon Limassol in a Cypriot league match. Statistics show AEK Larnaca has a solid defense at home, while Apollon Limassol struggles away. Both teams tend to score few goals.

Our AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Apollon Limassol

Apollon Limassol has scored under 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 10 matches. AEK Larnaca has a solid defense at home, not conceding a goal in 5 of their last 10 matches. The combination of Apollon's offensive weakness and AEK's defensive solidity makes it likely that Apollon will not score more than one goal.

3.55

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals in the match

AEK Larnaca has seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches. Apollon Limassol has a similar trend, with 4 matches under this threshold. Both teams have unproductive attacks and defenses that limit opportunities. The match promises to be tight and low-scoring.

1.85

Confidence

High (65 %)

AEK Larnaca Victory

AEK Larnaca is the favorite with odds of 2.0. In their last 10 matches, they won 4 times, including 4 times as the favorite. At home, they don't lose often. Apollon Limassol has a weak defense away, having kept a clean sheet only once in their last 10 matches. The trend is towards an AEK Larnaca victory.

1.58

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	AEK Larnaca	Apollon Limassol
Win	4 4 2	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	25%
Win by being a favorite	80%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	80%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	40%
Win by being an outsider	0%	40%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	80% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	30%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	10% 90%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Riad Bajic	40% (4/10)	50% (2/4)	Pedro Marques
Hrvoje Milicevic	40% (4/10)	40% (2/5)	Gustavo Assuncao
Angel Garcia	10% (1/10)	33% (2/6)	Brandon
Robert Mudrazija	11% (1/9)	14% (1/7)	Zacharias Adoni
Alex Cardero	10% (1/10)	14% (1/7)	Daniel Escriche
		17% (1/6)	Giorgios Malekkides
		14% (1/7)	Garry Rodrigues
		14% (1/7)	Ali Youssef
		20% (1/5)	Ivan Ljubic

Total goals per player

	1	2
Riad Bajic	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽2	Ali Youssef
Hrvoje Milicevic	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Gustavo Assuncao
Alex Cardero	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Brandon
Robert Mudrazija	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Pedro Marques
Angel Garcia	⚽1	⚽1	Ivan Ljubic
		⚽1	Zacharias Adoni
		⚽1	Garry Rodrigues
		⚽1	Daniel Escriche
		⚽1	Giorgios Malekkides

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	100%	80%
Over corners 7.5	80%	80%
Over corners 8.5	80%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	70%
Over corners 10.5	50%	50%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	70%
Over corners 3.5	60%	60%
Over corners 4.5	50%	50%
Over corners 5.5	50%	50%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	30%	60%
2.5	20%	20%
3.5	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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