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Melbourne City FC - Melbourne Victory: our prediction

09/05/2026•06:00

Melbourne City FC

1:0

(1:0)

Finished

Melbourne Victory

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory Preview — A-League Women Playoff

Melbourne City FC, home favorite, faces Melbourne Victory in the A-League Women playoffs. City has won 6 of their last 10 matches, while Victory has lost 3 of their last 6 away matches. Both teams score in 60% of City's matches and 50% of Victory's. City has a 60% win rate and is favored.

Our Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory predictions

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Melbourne City FC has seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Combined with the fact that both teams often score (60% for City, 50% for Victory), and City regularly concedes, the total goals should exceed 2.5. City also has a good attack, with 7 goals in their last 10 matches where they scored over 0.5 goals.

1.7

Confidence

High (65 %)

Both teams to score

Both teams have scored in 60% of Melbourne City FC's last matches and in 50% of Melbourne Victory's. City has kept a clean sheet only 3 times in their last 10 matches, while Victory has conceded goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Both teams tend to score and concede, making this bet likely.

1.6

Confidence

High (65 %)

Melbourne City FC Victory

Melbourne City FC is the logical favorite with odds at 1.85. They have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60% win rate) and are playing at home. Melbourne Victory has poor away form, with only 1 win in their last 10 away matches. City also has a good record as a favorite, with 6 wins in their last 10 matches as the favorite.

1.95

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Melbourne City FC	Melbourne Victory
Win	6 2 2	4 3 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	60%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	67%	0%
Win by being a favorite	60%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	25%
Win by being an outsider	0%	25%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	30% 70%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	60% 40%	50% 60%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	30% 70%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	20% 80%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	40%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Aideen Keane	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Holly Furphy
Holly McNamara	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Rachel Lowe
Bryleeh Flo Henry	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Ella O'Grady
Leticia McKenna	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Kennedy White
Rebekah Stott	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Claudia Bunge
Chinaza Uchendu	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Rhianna Pollicina
Deven Jackson	⚽1
Shelby McMahon	⚽1
Danielle Turner	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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