Rugby

Tennis

Toluca - Pachuca: our prediction

04/05/2026•03:15

Toluca

0:1

(0:1)

Finished

Pachuca

Toluca vs Pachuca Preview — Liga MX Clausura Playoff

Toluca, favorite at home, faces Pachuca in the Liga MX playoff. Toluca has average form (40% wins) but a strong tendency for goals (70% of matches with over 2.5 goals). Pachuca is solid away with 50% wins and an even stronger tendency for both teams to score (80%). The match promises to be open.

Our Toluca vs Pachuca predictions

Both teams to score

Both teams have a strong tendency to score and concede. Toluca has seen both teams score in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Pachuca in 80%. The offensive statistics on both sides (Paulinho for Toluca, Victor Guzman for Pachuca) and defensive weaknesses (Toluca kept a clean sheet only 2 times out of 10, Pachuca 0 times) make this bet very likely.

1.6

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 goals

Statistics show a high probability of over 2.5 goals. Toluca has exceeded this threshold in 70% of their last 10 matches, and Pachuca in 60%. Combined with the trend of both teams scoring (BTS), this match has high offensive potential. Key attackers like Paulinho and Victor Guzman are in form.

1.67

Confidence

High

Toluca to win

Toluca is the favorite at home with odds of 1.75. Although their overall form is average (40% wins), they have a home advantage. Pachuca has decent away form (50% wins), but Toluca has shown resilience as a favorite (not losing in 6 of their last 9 matches as a favorite). Playing at home in the playoffs is an additional asset.

1.84

Confidence

High

Market signals on Toluca vs Pachuca

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Toluca vs Pachuca Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Toluca	Pachuca
Win	4 2 4	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	33%	0%
Win by being a favorite	44%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	50%
Win by being an outsider	0%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	100%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	70% 30%	80% 70%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	40% 60%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	0%	40%
2nd half	90%	20%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	40% 60%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Paulinho	50% (3/6)	30% (3/10)	Kenedy
Nicolas Castro	30% (3/10)	38% (3/8)	Enner Valencia
Everardo Lopez	22% (2/9)	20% (2/10)	Victor Guzman
Jesus Angulo	10% (1/10)	11% (1/9)	Elias Montiel
Antonio Briseno	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Oussama Idrissi
Francisco Cordova	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Alan Bautista
Helinho	17% (1/6)	10% (1/10)	Carlos Sanchez
Jesus Gallardo	20% (1/5)
Fernando Arce	10% (1/10)
Franco Rossi	10% (1/10)
Jorge Diaz	13% (1/8)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Paulinho	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Victor Guzman
Nicolas Castro	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kenedy
Everardo Lopez	⚽⚽2	⚽⚽⚽3	Enner Valencia
Jesus Gallardo	⚽1	⚽1	Elias Montiel
Jorge Diaz	⚽1	⚽1	Oussama Idrissi
Jesus Angulo	⚽1	⚽1	Carlos Sanchez
Helinho	⚽1	⚽1	Alan Bautista
Antonio Briseno	⚽1
Fernando Arce	⚽1
Franco Rossi	⚽1
Francisco Cordova	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	70%
Over corners 7.5	80%	70%
Over corners 8.5	80%	70%
Over corners 9.5	70%	60%
Over corners 10.5	30%	50%
Over corners 11.5	20%	30%
Over corners 12.5	10%	10%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	40%	90%
Over corners 3.5	30%	80%
Over corners 4.5	30%	50%
Over corners 5.5	20%	40%
Over corners 6.5	20%	40%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	60%	90%
2.5	40%	60%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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