Rugby

Tennis

Pachuca - Toluca: our prediction

11/05/2026•01:00

Pachuca

2:0

(1:0)

Finished

Toluca

Pachuca vs Toluca Preview — Liga MX Clausura Playoff

Pachuca hosts Toluca in the Liga MX Clausura Playoffs. Toluca is favored with odds at 2.1. Pachuca has won 6 of their last 10 matches, while Toluca has only won 4. Both teams tend to score, with 80% of Pachuca's matches seeing both teams score. The match promises to be tight, but Toluca starts with a slight advantage.

Our Pachuca vs Toluca predictions

Both teams to score

Pachuca has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 matches, and Toluca in 60%. Both teams have competent attacks but porous defenses. Pachuca has only kept a clean sheet once in their last 10 matches, and Toluca twice. The trend is strongly in favor of this bet.

1.57

Confidence

Very high (80 %)

Under 3.5 goals

Although both teams score and the total goals could exceed 2.5, statistics show that 70% of Pachuca's matches and 60% of Toluca's matches have had under 3.5 goals. This suggests a match with a maximum of 3 goals, consistent with a 2-1 scoreline. This bet is compatible with the 'Over 2.5 goals' bet.

1.4

Confidence

High (65 %)

Over 2.5 goals

60% of Pachuca's matches and 70% of Toluca's matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Combined with the high probability of both teams scoring, it is logical to expect a match with at least 3 goals. Both teams have shown a propensity for open, high-scoring games.

1.7

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Pachuca vs Toluca

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Pachuca vs Toluca Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Pachuca	Toluca
Win	6 2 2	4 1 5
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	80%	56%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	25%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	0%	33%
Win by being a favorite	60%	44%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	80%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	60%	0%
Win by being an outsider	60%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	10% 90%	20% 80%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	60% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	40%	10%
2nd half	20%	90%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Enner Valencia	38% (3/8)	50% (3/6)	Paulinho
Kenedy	30% (3/10)	30% (3/10)	Nicolas Castro
Victor Guzman	20% (2/10)	22% (2/9)	Everardo Lopez
Oussama Idrissi	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Fernando Arce
Alan Bautista	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Franco Rossi
Carlos Sanchez	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Jorge Diaz
Elias Montiel	11% (1/9)	10% (1/10)	Jesus Angulo
		11% (1/9)	Antonio Briseno
		10% (1/10)	Francisco Cordova
		17% (1/6)	Helinho
		20% (1/5)	Jesus Gallardo

Total goals per player

	1	2
Victor Guzman	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	Paulinho
Kenedy	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Nicolas Castro
Enner Valencia	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Everardo Lopez
Elias Montiel	⚽1	⚽1	Jesus Gallardo
Oussama Idrissi	⚽1	⚽1	Jorge Diaz
Carlos Sanchez	⚽1	⚽1	Jesus Angulo
Alan Bautista	⚽1	⚽1	Helinho
		⚽1	Antonio Briseno
		⚽1	Fernando Arce
		⚽1	Franco Rossi
		⚽1	Francisco Cordova

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	70%	90%
Over corners 7.5	70%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	90%
Over corners 9.5	60%	80%
Over corners 10.5	50%	40%
Over corners 11.5	40%	30%
Over corners 12.5	20%	20%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	90%	50%
Over corners 3.5	80%	40%
Over corners 4.5	40%	40%
Over corners 5.5	30%	30%
Over corners 6.5	30%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	90%	40%
2.5	50%	20%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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