Estudiantes Merida - Deportivo Tachira: our prediction
02/05/2026•22:00
Estudiantes Merida
2:1
(2:1)
Finished
Deportivo Tachira
-
1
-
X
-
2
Estudiantes Merida vs Deportivo Tachira Preview — Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B
Estudiantes Merida hosts Deportivo Tachira for a Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B match. Tachira is favored by bookmakers with odds of 2.13. Both teams show mixed offensive and defensive statistics, but Tachira seems to have a slight edge in the last 10 matches with a 60% win rate.
Our Estudiantes Merida vs Deportivo Tachira predictions
Deportivo Tachira Win
Deportivo Tachira is favored with odds of 2.13. In their last 10 matches, they have a 60% win rate (6 wins), while Estudiantes Merida has only won 30% of their home matches in the same period. Tachira also has a better record as a favorite (3 wins in 7 matches where they were favored). Recent form and favorable odds point to a Tachira victory.
2.05
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 1.5 goals for Deportivo Tachira
Deportivo Tachira has scored under 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches (underparou15 indicator at 60% for the team). Combined with Estudiantes Merida's defense which has conceded goals in 80% of their matches, Tachira might struggle to score more than one goal. This bet is consistent with a narrow Tachira win and a low total goal count.
1.36
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Statistics show that 50% of Estudiantes Merida's matches and 60% of Deportivo Tachira's matches have had under 2.5 goals in their last 10 games. Additionally, Tachira has a strong tendency to keep a clean sheet (40% of their matches), which could limit the number of goals. A tight, low-scoring match is likely.
1.75
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Estudiantes Merida vs Deportivo Tachira
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Estudiantes Merida vs Deportivo Tachira Statistics
Win
Win | 6 1 3 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 100% | 43% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 57% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 43% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider | 43% | 100% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 40% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 30% 70% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 |
|---|
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Quejada | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Rodrigo Pollero |
| Geovan Montes | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Guillermo Fratta |
| Angelo Pena | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Luis Gonzalez |
| Jesus Lobo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jairo Villalpando |
| Luis Castillo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Leandro Fioravanti |
| Cesar Magallan | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Carlos Sosa |
⚽1 | Heiderber Ramirez | ||
⚽1 | Gustavo Lozano | ||
⚽1 | Franco Provenzano |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 0% |
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