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Metropolitanos FC - Estudiantes Merida: our prediction

09/05/2026•01:00

Metropolitanos FC

2:0

(0:0)

Finished

Estudiantes Merida

Metropolitanos FC vs Estudiantes Merida Preview — Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B

Metropolitanos FC hosts Estudiantes Merida in the Primera Division - Apertura Second Stage Group B. Metropolitanos shows a solid defense at home with 8 clean sheets in 10 matches, but a timid attack (only 3 matches with more than 1.5 goals). Estudiantes Merida, on the other hand, is a more offensive team, with 8 out of 10 matches exceeding 1.5 total goals, but a very fragile defense (9 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet). The match promises to be tight, with a defensive advantage for Metropolitanos at home.

Our Metropolitanos FC vs Estudiantes Merida predictions

Over 0.5 goals for Estudiantes Merida

Estudiantes Merida has scored at least one goal in 7 of their last 10 matches (parou05 indicator at 70%). They are an offensive team. Although Metropolitanos has a good defense, Merida's consistency in scoring is an important factor. This bet is compatible with the first two because it does not imply that both teams score, only that Merida scores at least one goal, which is possible even in a low-scoring match (e.g., 1-0 for Metropolitanos or 1-1).

1.44

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 1.5 goals for Metropolitanos FC

Metropolitanos FC has scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (underparou15 indicator at 70%). Their attack is weak, with only 3 matches where they scored more than 1.5 goals. Even at home, their offensive output is limited. This bet is consistent with the 'Under 2.5 goals' bet.

1.55

Confidence

High (65 %)

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Metropolitanos FC, at home, has seen under 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (under25 indicator at 90%). Their defense is solid (8 clean sheets). Estudiantes Merida, while more offensive, has a 50% tendency to stay under 2.5 goals. The combination of Metropolitanos' defense and their own low offensive output (only 1 match with more than 2.5 goals) makes this bet very likely.

1.76

Confidence

High (65 %)

Market signals on Metropolitanos FC vs Estudiantes Merida

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Metropolitanos FC vs Estudiantes Merida Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Metropolitanos FC	Estudiantes Merida
Win	6 3 1	6 1 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	80%	100%
Win by being a favorite	86%	100%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	67%	57%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	43%
Win by being an outsider	0%	43%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	80% 20%	10% 90%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	10% 90%	60% 10%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	40% 60%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	40%
2nd half	40%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	30% 70%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	10% 90%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Miku	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Kevin Quejada
Agustin Bianciotti	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Geovan Montes
Saimon Ramirez	⚽1	⚽1	Angelo Pena
Rafael Sangiovani	⚽1	⚽1	Jesus Lobo
		⚽1	Luis Castillo
		⚽1	Cesar Magallan

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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