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Omonia Nicosia - AEK Larnaca: our prediction

10/05/2026•17:00

Omonia Nicosia

1:1

(0:1)

Finished

AEK Larnaca

Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca Preview — Cyprus League Championship Playoff

Omonia Nicosia, heavy favorite (odds 1.85), faces AEK Larnaca in this Cypriot league match. Statistics show Omonia's overwhelming home dominance with an 80% win rate, while AEK Larnaca struggles away. Both teams rarely score, and Omonia's matches tend to stay under 2.5 goals.

Our Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca predictions

Omonia Nicosia to Win

Omonia Nicosia is in excellent home form with 8 wins in their last 10 matches (80% success rate). The team is the clear favorite and has not lost any of their last 10 games. On the other hand, AEK Larnaca has a very poor away record, with only 4 wins in their last 10 away trips. The odds of 1.85 for an Omonia win are very attractive given their form and the opponent's weakness.

1.5

Confidence

Very high

AEK Larnaca - Under 1.5 Goals

AEK Larnaca has a very weak attack away from home. In their last 10 matches, they scored less than 1.5 goals on 8 occasions (80%). Furthermore, Omonia Nicosia has a solid defense, keeping a clean sheet in 70% of their home games. It is therefore very likely that AEK Larnaca will not score or will score at most one goal. This bet reinforces the idea of a clean Omonia win without conceding much.

3.52

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Goals

Omonia Nicosia's matches are often low-scoring: 6 of their last 10 games saw under 2.5 goals. Furthermore, AEK Larnaca has never exceeded 2.5 goals in their last 10 matches. The trend is therefore very clearly towards a tight game. This bet is consistent with an Omonia win, as a 2-0 or 1-0 scoreline is very plausible.

2.02

Confidence

High

Market signals on Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Omonia Nicosia vs AEK Larnaca Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Omonia Nicosia	AEK Larnaca
Win	8 2	4 4 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	67%
Win by being a favorite	78%	80%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	80%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	100%	0%
Win by being an outsider	100%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	70% 30%	50% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	30% 70%	30% 30%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	20% 80%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	90% 10%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	70% 30%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Leading at half-time	80% 20%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	70%	20%
2nd half	10%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	40% 60%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	90% 10%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Ryan Mmaee	67% (6/9)	40% (4/10)	Riad Bajic
Ewandro	44% (4/9)	40% (4/10)	Hrvoje Milicevic
Willy Semedo	29% (2/7)	10% (1/10)	Angel Garcia
Senou Coulibaly	22% (2/9)	11% (1/9)	Robert Mudrazija
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Alex Cardero
Angelos Neofytou	11% (1/9)
Ioannis Kousoulos	10% (1/10)
Novica Erakovic	13% (1/8)
Stefan Simic	10% (1/10)
Muamer Tankovic	10% (1/10)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Ryan Mmaee	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	Riad Bajic
Ewandro	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Hrvoje Milicevic
Senou Coulibaly	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Angel Garcia
Willy Semedo	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alex Cardero
Ioannis Kousoulos	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Robert Mudrazija
Angelos Neofytou	⚽1
Stefan Simic	⚽1
Muamer Tankovic	⚽1
Novica Erakovic	⚽1
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis	⚽1

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	50%	70%
Over corners 8.5	40%	70%
Over corners 9.5	40%	60%
Over corners 10.5	40%	50%
Over corners 11.5	30%	40%
Over corners 12.5	30%	30%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	80%	80%
Over corners 3.5	40%	60%
Over corners 4.5	30%	50%
Over corners 5.5	20%	40%
Over corners 6.5	10%	20%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	90%
1.5	50%	40%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	30%	10%
4.5	10%	10%
5.5	10%	0%

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