Velez Sarsfield - Gimnasia LP: our prediction
11/05/2026•02:30
Velez Sarsfield
0:1
(0:1)
Finished
Gimnasia LP
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1
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X
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2
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia LP Preview — Liga Profesional Apertura Playoff
Velez Sarsfield hosts Gimnasia LP in the Liga Profesional Apertura Playoff. Velez, the favorite with odds of 1.83, shows inconsistent form with 4 wins in their last 10 matches. Gimnasia LP, the underdog, has won 7 of their last 10 games, displaying better momentum. Both teams tend to score, but Velez's matches often stay under 2.5 goals.
Our Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia LP predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Velez Sarsfield has seen 7 of their last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals, while Gimnasia LP has seen 4 out of 10. The trend for Velez, especially at home, is towards tight matches. The odds (3.20) reflect an interesting probability. Velez's defense is leaky (6 matches without a clean sheet), but their attack is not prolific (only 3 matches with over 2.5 goals).
1.44
Confidence
High (65 %)
Gimnasia LP scores over 1.5 goals
Gimnasia LP has shown good offensive form, scoring over 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 10 matches. Velez, on the other hand, has conceded at least one goal in 6 of their last 10 matches and has conceded more than one goal on several occasions. The high odds (4.50) offer interesting value for a bet on Gimnasia's offensive performance.
4.4
Confidence
High (65 %)
Both teams to score
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede. Velez has seen both teams score in 5 of their last 10 matches, and Gimnasia in 4. Velez has kept a clean sheet only 4 times in 10 matches, while Gimnasia has conceded in 6 of their last 10. The odds (1.83) suggest a likely scenario.
2.18
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia LP
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia LP Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 7 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 75% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 38% | 75% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 67% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 50% | 67% |
Win by being an outsider | 50% | 67% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 40% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Leading at half-time | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 60% |
2nd half | 20% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 30% 70% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Monzon | 44% (4/9) | 44% (4/9) | Marcelo Torres |
| Dilan Godoy | 22% (2/9) | 22% (2/9) | Franco Torres |
| Lucas Robertone | 14% (1/7) | 25% (2/8) | Ignacio Fernandez |
| Aaron Quiros | 11% (1/9) | 13% (1/8) | Alexis Steimbach |
| Diego Valdes | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Agustin Auzmendi |
| Tobias Andrada | 13% (1/8) | 11% (1/9) | Bautista Barros Schelotto |
| Manuel Lanzini | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Maximiliano Zalazar |
| Roberto Garcia | 13% (1/8) | 13% (1/8) | Renzo Giampaoli |
13% (1/8) | Nicolas Barros Schelotto |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Monzon | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Marcelo Torres |
| Tobias Andrada | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Ignacio Fernandez |
| Dilan Godoy | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Franco Torres |
| Diego Valdes | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Maximiliano Zalazar |
| Lucas Robertone | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Nicolas Barros Schelotto |
| Aaron Quiros | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Bautista Barros Schelotto |
| Manuel Lanzini | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Alexis Steimbach |
| Roberto Garcia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Renzo Giampaoli |
⚽1 | Agustin Auzmendi |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 40% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 90% |
1.5 | 60% | 80% |
2.5 | 30% | 50% |
3.5 | 20% | 30% |
4.5 | 20% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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