Deportivo Pasto - Tolima: our prediction
14/05/2026•01:00
Deportivo Pasto
0:2
(0:1)
Finished
Tolima
-
1
-
X
-
2
Deportivo Pasto vs Tolima Preview — Primera A Apertura Final Stage
Deportivo Pasto hosts Tolima in this Primera A Apertura Final Stage match. Pasto is favored with odds of 2.12, but their recent home results are mixed (4 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses in 10 matches). Tolima, on the other hand, struggles away from home (0 wins in their last 10 away matches). Statistics show a tendency for goals for Pasto, but a porous defense on both sides.
Our Deportivo Pasto vs Tolima predictions
Deportivo Pasto scores more than 0.5 goals
Deportivo Pasto has scored in 8 of their last 10 matches (parou05 indicator). At home, the team shows a certain offensive capability, with an average of goals scored that supports this bet. Tolima, away from home, has conceded goals in 7 of their last 10 matches. The attractive odds and Pasto's offensive trend make this bet very solid.
1.3
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 3.5 goals in the match
Both teams show a strong tendency for matches with under 3.5 goals. Deportivo Pasto has seen under 3.5 goals in 7 of their last 10 matches (under35 indicator). Tolima is even more pronounced with 8 of their last 10 matches under this threshold. Combined with Tolima's difficulty scoring away, this bet is very consistent.
1.2
Confidence
High (65 %)
Draw
Although Pasto is favored, their home results are very inconsistent (only 4 wins in 10 matches). Tolima, while weak away, has shown some resilience by obtaining 3 draws in their last 10 away matches (matchnull indicator for away). The odds of 3.1 for the draw are interesting and reflect a possible balance, especially if Pasto struggles to convert their chances.
3
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Deportivo Pasto vs Tolima
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Deportivo Pasto vs Tolima Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 1 5 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 67% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 75% | 67% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 25% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 17% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 30% |
2nd half | 30% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 30% 70% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (3/3) | Luis Sandoval | ||
75% (3/4) | Jersson Gonzalez | ||
25% (1/4) | Ever Valencia | ||
25% (1/4) | Adrian Parra | ||
25% (1/4) | Sebastian Guzman | ||
25% (1/4) | Juan Pablo Torres | ||
25% (1/4) | Jherson Mosquera |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrey Estupinan | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jersson Gonzalez |
| Jonathan Perlaza | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luis Sandoval |
| Enrique Serje | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Ever Valencia |
| Johan Caicedo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Pablo Torres |
| Diego Chavez | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Jherson Mosquera |
| Wilson Morelo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Guzman |
| Mateo Garavito | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Adrian Parra |
| Santiago Cordoba | ⚽1 | ||
| Mayer Gil | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 75% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 75% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 50% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 25% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 30% |
1.5 | 0% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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