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Melbourne City FC - Wellington Phoenix: our prediction

16/05/2026•08:15

Melbourne City FC

3:1

(2:0)

Finished

Wellington Phoenix

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix Preview — A-League Women Playoff

Melbourne City FC, the home favorite, faces Wellington Phoenix in the A-League Women playoffs. Melbourne has won 7 of their last 10 matches, while Wellington has won none of their last 10 away games. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, but Melbourne appears to have the edge.

Our Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix predictions

Wellington Phoenix scores under 1.5 goals

Wellington Phoenix has scored under 1.5 goals in 70% of their recent matches. Against a Melbourne City FC defense that kept a clean sheet in 40% of matches, it is likely that Wellington will not score more than one goal.

1.93

Confidence

High

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Statistics show that Melbourne City FC has seen under 3.5 goals in 70% of their recent matches, and Wellington Phoenix in 90%. Both teams have average attacks and defenses that limit high scores. A low-scoring match is likely.

1.29

Confidence

High

Melbourne City FC Win

Melbourne City FC is in excellent form with a 70% win rate in their last 10 matches, while Wellington Phoenix has won none of their last 10 away games. The odds (1.93) reflect this dominance. Melbourne's attack is effective, and Wellington's defense is fragile on the road.

2.06

Confidence

High

Market signals on Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Melbourne City FC	Wellington Phoenix
Win	7 2 1	5 1 4
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	90%	60%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	50%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	75%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	75%	50%
Win by being a favorite	70%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	0%
Win by being an outsider	0%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	40% 60%	40% 50%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	50% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	20% 80%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	40% 60%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	50%	60%
2nd half	30%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	50% 50%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	50% 50%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Aideen Keane	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Makala Woods
Leticia McKenna	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Brooke Nunn
Holly McNamara	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Marisa van der Meer
Bryleeh Flo Henry	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Emma Pijnenburg
Rebekah Stott	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Macey Fraser
Chinaza Uchendu	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Grace Jale
Danielle Turner	⚽1	⚽1	Manaia Elliott
Deven Jackson	⚽1	⚽1	Mackenzie Anthony
Shelby McMahon	⚽1	⚽1	Pia Vlok

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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