Rugby

Tennis

Tolima - Atletico Nacional: our prediction

17/05/2026•01:00

Tolima

0:1

(0:0)

Finished

Atletico Nacional

Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Preview — Primera A Apertura Final Stage

Tolima hosts Atletico Nacional in a Primera A Apertura Final Stage match. Atletico Nacional is the favorite with odds of 2.42, boasting 7 wins in their last 10 games. Tolima, at home, has won only once in their last 5 games as an outsider. Statistics show a trend of low scoring for Tolima (70% of matches under 2.5 goals) while Nacional has 60% of matches with over 2.5 goals.

Our Tolima vs Atletico Nacional predictions

Under 1.5 goals for Tolima

Tolima has scored less than 1.5 goals in 60% of their last 10 matches. Against an Atletico Nacional defense that has kept 3 recent clean sheets and is favored, it is very likely that Tolima will not exceed 1 goal. Furthermore, Tolima has only scored 5 goals in their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals per game. This bet is consistent with the prediction of a Nacional victory and a match under 2.5 goals.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Tolima has a strong tendency for matches under 2.5 goals (70% of their last 10 matches). Atletico Nacional, although more offensive, has seen 40% of its matches stay under this mark. Combined with Tolima's offensive weakness (only 2 matches with both teams scoring), the scenario of a match with under 2.5 goals is very likely. The odds of 1.67 reflect this probability well.

1.7

Confidence

High

Atletico Nacional Victory

Atletico Nacional is in great form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches, including 70% success as a favorite. Tolima, on the other hand, has a low home win rate (1 out of 5 as an outsider). The odds (2.42 for Nacional) confirm this trend. Nacional's defense is solid with 3 recent clean sheets, while Tolima struggles to score (only 2 matches with both teams scoring in 10).

2.75

Confidence

High

Market signals on Tolima vs Atletico Nacional

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Tolima	Atletico Nacional
Win	5 2 3	7 1 2
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	80%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	50%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	75%
Win by being a favorite	80%	70%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	40%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	20%	0%
Win by being an outsider	20%	0%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	60% 40%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	20% 80%	50% 20%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	100%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	100%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	50% 50%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	20%	50%
2nd half	30%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	90% 10%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	30% 70%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	10% 90%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	70% 30%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	30% 70%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Luis Sandoval	100% (3/3)
Jersson Gonzalez	75% (3/4)
Juan Pablo Torres	25% (1/4)
Jherson Mosquera	25% (1/4)
Adrian Parra	25% (1/4)
Ever Valencia	25% (1/4)
Sebastian Guzman	25% (1/4)

Total goals per player

	1	2
Luis Sandoval	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Andres Sarmiento
Jersson Gonzalez	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Alfredo Morelos
Sebastian Guzman	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Juan Rengifo
Adrian Parra	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Edwin Cardona
Ever Valencia	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Simon Garcia
Juan Pablo Torres	⚽1	⚽⚽2	Andres Felipe Roman
Jherson Mosquera	⚽1	⚽1	Marlos Moreno
		⚽1	Cristian Arango
		⚽1	Jorman Campuzano
		⚽1	Mateus Uribe
		⚽1	Eduard Bello

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	75%	0%
Over corners 7.5	75%	0%
Over corners 8.5	50%	0%
Over corners 9.5	50%	0%
Over corners 10.5	25%	0%
Over corners 11.5	25%	0%
Over corners 12.5	25%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	20%	0%
Over corners 3.5	20%	0%
Over corners 4.5	20%	0%
Over corners 5.5	10%	0%
Over corners 6.5	10%	0%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	30%	0%
1.5	20%	0%
2.5	20%	0%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	10%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers