Atletico Nacional - Tolima: our prediction
24/05/2026•01:00
Atletico Nacional
3:1
(0:0)
Finished
Tolima
-
1
-
X
-
2
Atletico Nacional vs Tolima Preview — Primera A Apertura Final Stage
Atletico Nacional, favorite at home, faces Tolima in the Primera A Apertura Final Stage. Nacional has won 7 of their last 10 matches, with a strong attack (6 matches with over 1.5 goals). Tolima, away, has shown a leaky defense (5 matches without conceding). Both teams tend to score, but Nacional seems more dominant.
Our Atletico Nacional vs Tolima predictions
Atletico Nacional scores over 0.5 goals
Atletico Nacional has scored in 7 of their last 10 matches. Against a Tolima defense that conceded in 5 of their 10 away matches, Nacional should score at least one goal.
1.17
Confidence
High
Over 1.5 goals in the match
Both teams have a strong tendency to score. Nacional has seen over 1.5 goals in 6 of their 10 matches, and Tolima in 8 of their 10 matches. The clash promises goals.
1.28
Confidence
High
Atletico Nacional Victory
Atletico Nacional is in great form at home with 7 wins in 10 matches. Their attack is prolific (6 matches with over 1.5 goals). Tolima has an inconsistent defense away (5 clean sheets in 10). The odds (1.67) confirm their favorite status.
1.74
Confidence
High
Market signals on Atletico Nacional vs Tolima
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Atletico Nacional vs Tolima Statistics
Win
Win | 7 1 2 | 5 1 4 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 78% | 80% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 33% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 75% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 80% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 40% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 20% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 20% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 50% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 20% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 80% 20% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 10% 90% | 50% 50% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 50% | 20% |
2nd half | 40% | 40% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 60% 40% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 20% 80% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 20% 80% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
100% (3/3) | Luis Sandoval | ||
75% (3/4) | Jersson Gonzalez | ||
25% (1/4) | Sebastian Guzman | ||
25% (1/4) | Juan Pablo Torres | ||
25% (1/4) | Jherson Mosquera | ||
25% (1/4) | Ever Valencia | ||
25% (1/4) | Adrian Parra |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Sarmiento | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Jersson Gonzalez |
| Simon Garcia | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Luis Sandoval |
| Andres Felipe Roman | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Jherson Mosquera |
| Alfredo Morelos | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Sebastian Guzman |
| Juan Rengifo | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Adrian Parra |
| Edwin Cardona | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Ever Valencia |
| Eduard Bello | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Juan Pablo Torres |
| Marlos Moreno | ⚽1 | ||
| Cristian Arango | ⚽1 | ||
| Jorman Campuzano | ⚽1 | ||
| Mateus Uribe | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 7.5 | 0% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 9.5 | 0% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 3.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 0% | 40% |
1.5 | 0% | 20% |
2.5 | 0% | 20% |
3.5 | 0% | 10% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
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