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Ajax - FC Groningen: our prediction

21/05/2026•18:45

Ajax

2:0

(1:0)

Finished

FC Groningen

Ajax vs FC Groningen Preview — Eredivisie ECL Playoff

Ajax faces FC Groningen in an Eredivisie playoff match. Ajax is the favorite with odds of 1.83, but Groningen has shown good recent form with 5 wins in their last 10 matches. Both teams tend to score, with 'Both Teams to Score' successful in 70% of Groningen's matches.

Our Ajax vs FC Groningen predictions

Both teams to score

Both teams have shown a strong tendency to score. Ajax has seen both teams score in 50% of its last 10 matches, while Groningen has achieved this in 70% of its matches. Groningen's offensive statistics (5 recent wins) and Ajax's sometimes permeable defense (5 clean sheets in 10) suggest that both teams should score.

1.54

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 goals

Both teams have a high probability of exceeding 2.5 goals. Ajax has seen over 2.5 goals in 60% of its last 10 matches, and Groningen in 70%. Combined with the tendency of both teams to score, this bet is consistent and supported by the data.

1.6

Confidence

High

Ajax to win

Ajax is the favorite with odds of 1.83 and plays at home. However, its recent form is mixed with only 3 wins in the last 10 matches. Groningen has shown good form with 5 wins in 10, making Ajax's win less certain. Despite this, Ajax's overall quality and home advantage justify this bet with medium confidence.

1.83

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ajax vs FC Groningen

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ajax vs FC Groningen Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Ajax	FC Groningen
Win	3 4 3	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	67%	67%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	100%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	33%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	20%	33%
Win by being a favorite	33%	33%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	100%	75%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	0%	75%
Win by being an outsider	0%	75%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	50% 50%	30% 70%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	50% 50%	70% 50%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	70% 30%	60% 40%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	60% 40%	80% 20%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	60% 40%	50% 50%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	30% 70%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	10%
2nd half	20%	50%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	60% 40%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	30% 70%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	100%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	80% 20%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	40% 60%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	20% 80%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	10% 90%	100%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	100%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2
Mika Godts	50% (5/10)	40% (4/10)	Thom van Bergen
Davy Klaassen	50% (3/6)	30% (3/10)	Tygo Land
Wout Weghorst	38% (3/8)	100% (1/1)	Oskar Zawada
Steven Berghuis	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	David van der Werff
Anton Gaaei	20% (2/10)	10% (1/10)	Jorg Schreuders
Oscar Gloukh	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Tika de Jonge
Sean Steur	10% (1/10)	10% (1/10)	Marvin Peersman
Jorthy Mokio	10% (1/10)	13% (1/8)	Younes Taha
		10% (1/10)	Marco Rente
		10% (1/10)	Dies Janse

Total goals per player

	1	2
Mika Godts	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	Thom van Bergen
Wout Weghorst	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽⚽3	Tygo Land
Steven Berghuis	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽⚽2	Oskar Zawada
Davy Klaassen	⚽⚽⚽3	⚽1	Jorg Schreuders
Anton Gaaei	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Younes Taha
Sean Steur	⚽1	⚽1	Dies Janse
Jorthy Mokio	⚽1	⚽1	Tika de Jonge
Oscar Gloukh	⚽1	⚽1	David van der Werff
		⚽1	Marvin Peersman
		⚽1	Marco Rente

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	80%	90%
Over corners 7.5	80%	90%
Over corners 8.5	70%	90%
Over corners 9.5	70%	80%
Over corners 10.5	60%	80%
Over corners 11.5	50%	70%
Over corners 12.5	40%	60%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	70%	90%
Over corners 3.5	60%	80%
Over corners 4.5	50%	80%
Over corners 5.5	30%	50%
Over corners 6.5	10%	30%

Over X yellow cards (per team)

	1	2
0.5	80%	80%
1.5	60%	50%
2.5	30%	10%
3.5	10%	0%
4.5	0%	0%
5.5	0%	0%

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