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Real Madrid Castilla - Sabadell: our prediction

29/05/2026•21:00

Real Madrid Castilla

2:0

(0:0)

Finished

Sabadell

Real Madrid Castilla vs Sabadell Preview — Primera Federacion Promotion Playoff

Real Madrid Castilla, the favorite, faces Sabadell in the promotion playoffs. Statistics show a strong tendency for Castilla to see both teams score (80%) and to exceed 2.5 goals (80%). Sabadell is less effective away, with only one win in their last 10 away matches.

Our Real Madrid Castilla vs Sabadell predictions

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Real Madrid Castilla has seen over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 matches (90%). Sabadell also has a high trend with 70% of their matches exceeding this threshold. Castilla's offensive trend and Sabadell's porous defense make this bet very likely.

1.34

Confidence

Very high (80%)

Real Madrid Castilla win

Real Madrid Castilla is the favorite with odds of 2.15. Although their recent form is average (40% wins), they play at home and face a Sabadell side with a very poor away record (1 win in 10 matches). Castilla also has a better 'did not lose as favorite' indicator (7/7) compared to Sabadell (6/8). Castilla's offensive trend and Sabadell's away weakness point to a home win.

2.15

Confidence

High (65%)

Both teams score

Real Madrid Castilla has seen both teams score in 80% of their last matches. Sabadell, although less effective, has a 50% trend for this market. Castilla's defensive weakness (8 out of 10 matches without a clean sheet) and Sabadell's ability to score away (9 out of 10 matches with at least one goal) support this bet.

1.83

Confidence

High (65%)

Market signals on Real Madrid Castilla vs Sabadell

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Real Madrid Castilla vs Sabadell Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Real Madrid Castilla	Sabadell
Win	4 4 2	5 2 3
Win Draw Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Did not lose by being a favorite	100%	75%
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50	0%	0%
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above	50%	33%
Win by being a favorite	43%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Did not lose by being an outsider	33%	50%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above	33%	50%
Win by being an outsider	33%	50%

Clean sheet

	1	2
Clean sheet	20% 80%	40% 60%
Yes No

Both teams score

	1	2
Both teams score	80% 20%	50% 80%
Yes No

Half-time

	1	2
Draw at halftime	30% 70%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	50% 50%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	30% 70%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	50% 50%	20% 80%
Leading at half-time	30% 70%	20% 80%
More goals Under goals

Half with most goals

	1	2
1st half	30%	0%
2nd half	50%	80%

Goals Over/Under

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game	100%	100%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game	90% 10%	70% 30%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game	80% 20%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game	60% 40%	40% 60%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game	40% 60%	10% 90%
More goals Under goals

Goals Over/Under (by team)

	1	2
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team	100%	90% 10%
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team	60% 40%	50% 50%
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team	30% 70%	20% 80%
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team	20% 80%	10% 90%
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team	20% 80%	100%
More goals Under goals

% of matches in which a player has scored

	1	2

Total goals per player

	1	2
Pol Fortuny	⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7	⚽⚽⚽3	Agustin Coscia
Jacobo Ortega	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽⚽3	Javi Lopez
Cesar Palacios	⚽⚽⚽⚽4	⚽⚽2	Ruben Martinez
Liberto Navascues	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Alan Godoy
Joan Martinez	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Rodrigo Escudero
Rachad Fettal	⚽⚽2	⚽1	Joel Priego
Victor Valdepenas	⚽1	⚽1	Eneko Aguilar
Alexis Ciria	⚽1	⚽1	Arthur

Over corners (per game)

	1	2
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%
Over corners 7.5	0%	0%
Over corners 8.5	0%	0%
Over corners 9.5	0%	0%
Over corners 10.5	0%	0%
Over corners 11.5	0%	0%
Over corners 12.5	0%	0%

Over corners (per team)

	1	2
Over corners 2.5	0%	0%
Over corners 3.5	0%	0%
Over corners 4.5	0%	0%
Over corners 5.5	0%	0%
Over corners 6.5	0%	0%

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