Croatia - Kosovo: our prediction

Croatia is the clear favorite. Statistics show a win in 50% of recent matches, but crucially a win in 90% of matches where they are favored. Kosovo has a 100% loss rate and has never won as an underdog. The difference in level is significant.

Croatia, the favorite, could control the pace. Kosovo, weaker offensively (only 50% goals in the first half), could limit the total score. The half-time statistics (40% and 30% 'more goals' for Croatia) suggest a potentially under-the-bar match.