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Buffalo Sabres - Tampa Bay Lightning: our prediction

07/04/2026•01:00

Buffalo Sabres

4:2

Finished

Tampa Bay Lightning

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview — NHL

NHL clash between the Buffalo Sabres at home and the Tampa Bay Lightning on the road. Recent statistics show solid offensive form for both teams, with a slight defensive edge for Tampa Bay.

Our Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions

Winner (Ordinary time) : Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay shows superior form over the last 10 games (70% wins vs 50% for Buffalo). The away team is more effective as an outsider (80% wins) and has a more solid defense (only 30% losses). The odds of 2.24 offer good value.

2.3

Confidence

High

Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Under 6.5 Goals

Statistics from the last 10 games are mixed: 50% for Under 6.5 for Buffalo, 40% for Tampa Bay. However, both teams show strong Under trends for high totals (e.g., Under 4.5 at 80% for Buffalo). The odds of 1.66 are reasonable for a cautious bet on a potentially tight game.

1.67

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Buffalo Sabres vs Tampa Bay Lightning Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Buffalo Sabres	Tampa Bay Lightning
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Win by being a favorite	60%	40%

When Outsider

	1	2
Win by being an outsider	40%	60%

Over goals

	1	2
1st period	30%	0%
2nd period	0%	30%
3rd period	0%	10%

Over goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	100%
1.5	80%	80%
2.5	60%	40%
3.5	40%	10%
4.5	20%	0%

Under goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	0%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	40%	60%
3.5	60%	90%
4.5	80%	100%

Over goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	100%	90%
3.5	90%	70%
4.5	90%	70%
5.5	60%	30%
6.5	40%	20%

Under goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	10%	30%
5.5	40%	70%
6.5	60%	80%

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