Rochester Americans vs Toronto Marlies Prediction - Odds, Tips & Analysis

28/03/2026•00:05

Rochester Americans

5:2

Finished

Toronto Marlies

Match Preview

Tight matchup in the AHL between the struggling Rochester Americans and the better-performing Toronto Marlies. Offensive and defensive statistics suggest a potentially balanced game with a moderate total goals.

Our predictions

Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Under 5.5 Goals

Analysis of the last 10 games shows a strong trend towards Under 5.5 goals. Rochester recorded Under 5.5 in 70% of its games (7/10), Toronto in 60% (6/10). Team statistics confirm: Rochester rarely scores over 2.5 goals (50% Over) and Toronto rarely exceeds 3.5 goals (50% Over). Rochester's defense, although losing, limits high scores (Under 3.5 goals conceded: 80%).

1.8

Confidence

High

Winner (Ordinary time) : Toronto Marlies

Toronto Marlies show significantly better form with 6 wins in the last 10 games (60%), compared to only 2 for Rochester (20%). Offensive statistics also favor Toronto (Over 1.5 goals: 90% vs 70% for Rochester). No information on major injuries is available to challenge this trend.

2.47

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Rochester Americans	Toronto Marlies
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Win by being a favorite	50%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Win by being an outsider	20%	40%

Over goals

	1	2
1st period	20%	0%
2nd period	20%	10%
3rd period	20%	30%

Over goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	90%	90%
1.5	80%	90%
2.5	70%	70%
3.5	30%	40%
4.5	20%	20%

Under goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	10%	10%
1.5	20%	10%
2.5	30%	30%
3.5	70%	60%
4.5	80%	80%

Over goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	100%	90%
3.5	90%	80%
4.5	90%	80%
5.5	70%	60%
6.5	60%	40%

Under goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	0%	10%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	10%	20%
5.5	30%	40%
6.5	40%	60%

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Rochester Americans vs Toronto Marlies — Prediction