Montreal Canadiens - Tampa Bay Lightning: our prediction
25/04/2026•01:00
Montreal Canadiens
3:2
Finished OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
1
-
X
-
2
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Preview — NHL Playoffs
Montreal faces Tampa Bay in the NHL. The Canadiens are strong at home, but the Lightning remains dangerous. Likely high-scoring game.
Our Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions
Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Over 5.5 Goals
Both teams have a 100% rate for Over 2.5 goals in their last 10 games. Over 3.5 is at 80% for both, and Over 4.5 is also high (80% for Montreal, 70% for Tampa Bay). Over 5.5 is at 50% for Montreal and 60% for Tampa Bay, which is significant for a high line. The offensive trend is very strong.
1.72
Confidence
High
Winner (Ordinary time) : Montreal Canadiens
Montreal has a 60% win rate over the last 10 games and is particularly strong at home (70% wins as favorite). Tampa Bay shows less consistent form (50% wins). The statistics for wins as an underdog are balanced, but home advantage and recent form favor Montreal.
2.52
Confidence
High
Market signals on Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being a favorite | 50% | 40% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Win by being an outsider | 40% | 60% |
Over goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st period | 50% | 0% |
2nd period | 0% | 30% |
3rd period | 0% | 10% |
Over goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 80% | 80% |
2.5 | 50% | 40% |
3.5 | 30% | 10% |
4.5 | 30% | 0% |
Under goals (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 10% | 0% |
1.5 | 20% | 20% |
2.5 | 50% | 60% |
3.5 | 70% | 90% |
4.5 | 70% | 100% |
Over goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 100% | 90% |
3.5 | 100% | 70% |
4.5 | 90% | 70% |
5.5 | 50% | 30% |
6.5 | 50% | 20% |
Under goals (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
2.5 | 0% | 10% |
3.5 | 0% | 30% |
4.5 | 10% | 30% |
5.5 | 50% | 70% |
6.5 | 50% | 80% |
Lineups
Montreal Canadiens
CoachMartin St. Louis
Substitutes
Tampa Bay Lightning
CoachJon Cooper
Substitutes
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers