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Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens: our prediction

30/04/2026•01:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

2:3

Finished

Montreal Canadiens

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Preview — NHL Playoffs

NHL Playoffs match between Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens. Both teams show similar form, with a slight edge for Montreal as an underdog.

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens predictions

Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Under 5.5 Goals

Both teams have a high percentage of games under 5.5 goals (Tampa Bay 50%, Montreal 60%). Additionally, both teams have 100% of their games under 4.5 goals, indicating a trend towards low scores.

2.02

Confidence

High

Winner (Ordinary time) : Montreal Canadiens

Montreal has a better win percentage as an underdog (70%) and Tampa Bay has a high loss rate (60%). The odds are attractive for a performing underdog.

2.95

Confidence

High

Market signals on Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens Statistics

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Tampa Bay Lightning	Montreal Canadiens
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Win by being a favorite	40%	50%

When Outsider

	1	2
Win by being an outsider	60%	40%

Over goals

	1	2
1st period	0%	50%
2nd period	30%	0%
3rd period	10%	0%

Over goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	80%	80%
2.5	40%	50%
3.5	10%	30%
4.5	0%	30%

Under goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	10%
1.5	20%	20%
2.5	60%	50%
3.5	90%	70%
4.5	100%	70%

Over goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	90%	100%
3.5	70%	100%
4.5	70%	90%
5.5	30%	50%
6.5	20%	50%

Under goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	10%	0%
3.5	30%	0%
4.5	30%	10%
5.5	70%	50%
6.5	80%	50%

Lineups

Tampa Bay Lightning

CoachJon Cooper

Substitutes

Montreal Canadiens

CoachMartin St. Louis

Substitutes

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