04/05/2026

Tampa Bay Lightning

00:00

Tomorrow

Montreal Canadiens

Match Preview

NHL Playoffs match between Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens. Both teams show very balanced statistics over the last 10 games, with a 50% win rate each. Tampa Bay is the favorite at home, but Montreal has shown a good ability to win as an underdog.

Our predictions

Goals Over/Under (Ordinary time) : Over 4.5 Goals

Statistics show a strong trend towards games with more than 4.5 goals. Tampa Bay has 70% of its games with over 4.5, and Montreal 80%. Additionally, both teams have 100% of their games with more than 0.5 goals per team, indicating strong offensive capability. The odds of 1.66 are very attractive for this high probability.

1.66

Confidence

Very high

Winner (Ordinary time) : Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay Lightning plays at home and is the favorite. Although the overall statistics are balanced, Tampa Bay has a better win rate as a favorite (50% vs 60% for Montreal as an underdog). The odds of 1.95 are attractive for a home favorite in a playoff context.

1.95

Confidence

High

Market Signals

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Success Rate per bet

History

1 Home / 2 Away

Win

	Tampa Bay Lightning	Montreal Canadiens
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

When Favorite

	1	2
Win by being a favorite	50%	60%

When Outsider

	1	2
Win by being an outsider	60%	70%

Over goals

	1	2
1st period	0%	0%
2nd period	30%	30%
3rd period	20%	10%

Over goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	100%	90%
1.5	80%	90%
2.5	40%	40%
3.5	10%	20%
4.5	0%	0%

Under goals (per team)

	1	2
0.5	0%	10%
1.5	20%	10%
2.5	60%	60%
3.5	90%	80%
4.5	100%	100%

Over goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	90%	90%
3.5	70%	80%
4.5	70%	80%
5.5	30%	30%
6.5	20%	20%

Under goals (per game)

	1	2
2.5	10%	10%
3.5	30%	20%
4.5	30%	20%
5.5	70%	70%
6.5	80%	80%

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens — Prediction