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Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anastasija Sevastova: our prediction

26/08/2025•22:20

#10

Ekaterina Alexandrova

2:0

6•4

6•1

Finished

#11

Anastasija Sevastova

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasija Sevastova Preview — US Open WTA

Ekaterina Alexandrova, clear favorite with odds of 1.27, faces Anastasija Sevastova (odds 3.76) in the first round of the US Open. Alexandrova shows solid form (60% recent wins) and strong performance as a favorite. Sevastova, although competitive, has less convincing statistics as an outsider. No injuries reported. A 2-set match is likely.

Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasija Sevastova predictions

Ekaterina Alexandrova to Win

Alexandrova is favorite with a low odds of 1.27 and 60% wins in her last 10 matches. Strong performance as favorite (60% wins) while Sevastova wins only 30% as outsider. No injuries reported.

1.25

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Alexandrova has 50% of matches in 2 sets as favorite outside Majors and 30% in Majors. Sevastova loses 50% of her matches in 2 sets as outsider. The difference in level suggests a short match.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a likely 2-set win by Alexandrova, the total games should remain moderate. Sevastova's statistics show she often loses clearly (70% of her losses in 2 sets as outsider).

1.48

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasija Sevastova

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasija Sevastova Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Ekaterina Alexandrova	Anastasija Sevastova
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	10%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	16%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	33%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	80%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	33%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	25%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%