Rugby

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Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik: our prediction

02/09/2025•10:05

#105

Jan Choinski

2:0

6•0

6•2

Finished

#89

Jozef Kovalik

Jan Choinski vs Jozef Kovalik Preview — Tulln

Jan Choinski shows solid form with 70% wins in his last 10 matches, compared to only 10% for Jozef Kovalik. Choinski performs better as a favorite (80% wins) and in 2-set matches (60%). No injuries reported for either player.

Our Jan Choinski vs Jozef Kovalik predictions

Jan Choinski Victory

Choinski has 70% wins in his last 10 matches compared to only 10% for Kovalik. His performance as a favorite (80% wins) and consistency in 2-set matches (60%) support this prediction.

1.65

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets

Choinski finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets, and Kovalik has a low win rate (10%), making a 2-set match likely. Player statistics in non-Grand Slam events indicate a trend toward short matches.

1.52

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games

With a high probability of a 2-set match and Choinski's expected dominance, the total games should stay under 22.5. Kovalik showing little recent resistance, sets could be tight but short.

1.78

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jan Choinski vs Jozef Kovalik

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jan Choinski vs Jozef Kovalik Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jan Choinski	Jozef Kovalik
Win \| Lose	7 3	1 9
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	25%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	75%	66%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	30%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	16%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%