Rugby

Tennis

Luisina Giovannini - Maja Chwalinska: our prediction

03/12/2025•16:05

#173

Luisina Giovannini

2:0

6•3

6•4

Finished

#14

Maja Chwalinska

Luisina Giovannini vs Maja Chwalinska Preview — Quito

Maja Chwalinska, the clear favorite (odds 1.20), faces Luisina Giovannini (odds 4.18) in Quito. Chwalinska shows superior form (60% win rate in last 10 matches) and a strong tendency to win matches in 2 sets when favored (80%). Giovannini, often the underdog, struggles to win in that role (12.5% win rate). No known injury alerts. A match likely dominated by the favorite.

Our Luisina Giovannini vs Maja Chwalinska predictions

Maja Chwalinska to Win

Chwalinska is the clear favorite (odds 1.20). Her recent form is far superior (60% win rate vs 30% for Giovannini). When favored, she wins 70% of the time, and crucially, 80% of those wins are in 2 sets. Giovannini wins only 12.5% of her matches as an underdog. No reported injuries contradict this dynamic.

1.17

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 Sets in the Match

The key statistic is Chwalinska's propensity to finish matches quickly when favored: 80% of her wins as a favorite are in 2 sets. Furthermore, 70% of all her recent matches (outside Grand Slam) end in 2 sets. Giovannini, as an underdog, loses 75% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5) seems low.

1.3

Confidence

High

Market signals on Luisina Giovannini vs Maja Chwalinska

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luisina Giovannini vs Maja Chwalinska Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Luisina Giovannini	Maja Chwalinska
Win \| Lose	3 7	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	37%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	75%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	12%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	25%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%