Rugby

Tennis

Leolia Jeanjean - Polona Hercog: our prediction

06/12/2025•16:40

#111

Leolia Jeanjean

0:2

2•6

Finished

#31

Polona Hercog

Leolia Jeanjean vs Polona Hercog Preview — Quito

Leolia Jeanjean, the favorite with odds of 1.65, faces Polona Hercog (odds 2.18) in Quito. Jeanjean shows superior recent form (70% wins in last 10 matches vs 50% for Hercog) and excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Hercog, more experienced, can be dangerous but her consistency is questionable. No known injury alerts. A tight match in 2 sets is likely.

Our Leolia Jeanjean vs Polona Hercog predictions

Leolia Jeanjean to win

Jeanjean is designated as the favorite (odds 1.65) and her recent statistics are solid: 70% wins in the last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Hercog. She shows an 80% win rate as a favorite. Her current form and favorite status justify this prediction.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets (Match in 2 sets)

Both players have a 60% rate of matches in 2 sets in their last 10 matches outside Majors. Jeanjean, as a favorite, wins 60% of her matches in 2 sets. Hercog, as a favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a match in 2 sets is high.

1.49

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a match in 2 sets, the total number of games tends to be lower. If the match is tight but ends in 2 sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the bet wins. Jeanjean's form suggests she can control the match, limiting the number of games.

1.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Leolia Jeanjean vs Polona Hercog

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Leolia Jeanjean vs Polona Hercog Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Leolia Jeanjean	Polona Hercog
Win \| Lose	7 3	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	71%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	80%