Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Maxime Chazal: our prediction
06/01/2026•08:10

#108

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
2:0
6•4
7•6
Finished

#243

Maxime Chazal
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Maxime Chazal Preview — Noumea
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, the clear favorite (odds 1.19), faces Maxime Chazal (odds 4.09) in Nouméa. Recent statistics show mixed form for both players, but De Alboran's theoretical superiority and very low odds make him the heavy favorite. No injury alerts have been reported.
Our Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Maxime Chazal predictions
Victory for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
De Alboran is the designated favorite with a very low odds (1.19). Although his recent form is not excellent (4 wins out of 10), he faces Chazal who has even weaker form (3W/10) and very unfavorable statistics as an outsider (10% wins). The theoretical level difference and market odds are very clear.
1.18
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the previous analysis. Historical data shows that in non-Grand Slam matches, De Alboran finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets, and Chazal 90%. Furthermore, when Chazal is an outsider, he practically never wins a set (0% 3-set matches in the last 10 as an outsider). The probability of a 2-set match (2-0 or 0-2 victory) is therefore very high.
1.33
Confidence
High
Market signals on Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Maxime Chazal
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran vs Maxime Chazal Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 66% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 10% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 37% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 44% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 83% | 100% |
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