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Viktoria Hruncakova - Sada Nahimana: our prediction

12/01/202602:35
Viktoria Hruncakova
#52
country flag
Viktoria Hruncakova
2:0
63
61
Finished
Sada Nahimana
#189
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Sada Nahimana
-
1
-
X
-
2

Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Viktoria Hruncakova, the designated favorite (odds 1.61), faces Sada Nahimana (odds 2.28) in the first round of Australian Open qualifying. Hruncakova shows mixed recent form (2 wins in last 10 matches) but is accustomed to the favorite status. Nahimana displays better immediate form (5W/5L) and an excellent win statistic as a favorite (90%). The match could be tight, with a significant probability of seeing three sets.

Our Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match
The players' historical statistics in Grand Slam tournaments indicate a strong propensity for three-set matches. Hruncakova has played 10% of her Grand Slam matches in 3 sets, Nahimana 30%. Furthermore, Hruncakova, although the favorite, very often loses a set in this role (90% of cases). Nahimana, in good form, has a high chance of winning a set, making the three-set scenario very likely.
2.65
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
A three-set scenario (predicted with high confidence) significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in two sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4), the total can reach 22 games. Given the expected competitiveness and Hruncakova's tendency to lose sets even as a favorite, a long match with many games is a solid possibility.
2.3
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Sada Nahimana
Sada Nahimana displays much better recent form (5W/5L vs 2W/8L for Hruncakova). Her win statistic as a favorite is excellent (90% over the last 10 matches). Although the underdog on paper, the odds of 2.28 offer good value. Hruncakova is struggling with only 20% wins in her last 10 matches and poor performance as a favorite (30%). The current momentum favors Nahimana.
3.3
Confidence
Medium

Market signals on Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana

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Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Viktoria Hruncakova vs Sada Nahimana Statistics

Win
Viktoria Hruncakova logo
Viktoria Hruncakova
Sada Nahimana logo
Sada Nahimana
Win | Lose
2
8
5
5
Win
Lose
% of match in X sets
12
% of match in 3 sets
10%
30%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when favorite
12
% of match in 3 sets
0%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
% of match in X sets when outsider
12
% of match in 3 sets
11%
0%
% of match in 4 sets or more
0%
0%
Win by being a favorite
12
Global
30%
90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2
50%
100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
50%
0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8
20%
80%
Win by being an outsider
12
Global
10%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
0%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
40%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
66%
0%
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
12
Global
30%
10%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2
0%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5
60%
0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8
100%
0%
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
12
Global
90%
40%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20
100%
20%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5
100%
0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80
80%
60%
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