Rugby

Tennis

Lilli Tagger - Xinyu Gao: our prediction

13/01/2026•08:10

#63

Lilli Tagger

2:1

3•6

7•5

6•3

Finished

#165

Xinyu Gao

Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gao Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA

Australian Open (WTA) qualifying match between Lilli Tagger (favorite, odds 1.59) and Xinyu Gao (underdog, odds 2.25). Both players show identical recent form (5W/5L in last 10 matches). Tagger is more successful as a favorite (75% win rate) than Gao as an underdog (30%). Statistics suggest a potentially tight match, with a significant probability of seeing three sets.

Our Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gao predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics from the last 10 matches (excluding Grand Slams) show that 30% of matches for both players ended in 3 sets. Furthermore, as a favorite, Tagger loses at least one set 50% of the time, and as an underdog, Gao wins at least one set 50% of the time. This data, combined with the close odds, indicates a high probability of a three-set match.

2.35

Confidence

High

Victory for Lilli Tagger

Lilli Tagger is designated as the favorite by the bookmakers (odds 1.59). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 75% win rate (3W/1L) in her last 4 matches in that role. Although her overall form is 5W/5L, she appears more reliable when expected to win. No injury information was found.

1.59

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

This bet is consistent with the prediction of a three-set match. A match with two tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) would total 22 games, just below the limit. However, a three-set match, even with not-so-tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-3), easily exceeds 22.5 games. Given the high probability of three sets, this bet has a reasonable chance of success.

2.05

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gao

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Gao Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Lilli Tagger	Xinyu Gao
Win \| Lose	5 5	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	75%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	42%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	57%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	50%

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