Chloe Paquet - Zhuoxuan Bai: our prediction
14/01/2026•05:55

#117

Chloe Paquet
0:2
1•6
2•6
Finished

#115

Zhuoxuan Bai
-
1
-
X
-
2
Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai Preview — Australian Open, Qualification WTA
Chloe Paquet faces Zhuoxuan Bai in the first round of the Australian Open qualifiers. Paquet, with mixed recent form (4W/6L), is a slight underdog against Bai, who is the favorite (odds 1.79) and shows better form (6W/4L). Historical statistics on hard court and in Grand Slams suggest a tight match, with a significant probability of exceeding 22.5 games.
Our Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
The players' Grand Slam statistics show a tendency for three-set matches (30% for Paquet, 40% for Bai). Furthermore, Bai often loses a set as the favorite (50%), and Paquet often wins a set as the underdog (60%). This suggests a balanced match with many games, likely exceeding the 22.5 threshold.
2.08
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Although Grand Slam statistics show a probability of 3 sets, the odds indicate Bai as a clear favorite (1.79). Her statistics as a favorite outside Grand Slams show 70% of matches in 2 sets. Combined with Bai's superior form (6W/4L vs 4W/6L), a 2-set victory is the most likely scenario.
1.52
Confidence
High
Victory for Zhuoxuan Bai
Bai is designated as the favorite by bookmakers (odds 1.79) and shows better recent form (60% wins in the last 10 matches vs 40% for Paquet). Her win rate as a favorite is 60%, and she won her only Grand Slam match as a favorite. However, her tendency to lose a set (50%) makes this bet less certain.
1.64
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Chloe Paquet vs Zhuoxuan Bai Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 14% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 60% |
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