Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel: our prediction
15/01/2026
#79
Rio Noguchi
04:00
#241
Marek Gengel
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Rio Noguchi vs Marek Gengel Preview — Nonthaburi 2
Rio Noguchi faces Marek Gengel in a Challenger tournament in Nonthaburi. Noguchi shows slightly better form (80% wins in the last 10 matches vs 70% for Gengel) and a stronger tendency for two-set matches when favored. No injury alerts reported.
Our Rio Noguchi vs Marek Gengel predictions
Rio Noguchi to Win
Noguchi shows superior recent form (80% win rate) and an excellent statistic for two-set wins when favored (90%). Gengel, while solid, loses a set more often as a favorite (80%). The odds of 1.5 for Noguchi offer good value.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Overall statistics from the last 10 matches show a strong tendency for two-set matches for both players (80% for Noguchi, 70% for Gengel). Noguchi, as the favorite, finishes 90% of his matches in two sets when in that position. This suggests a match likely concluded in two sets.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a two-set match, the total number of games should be contained. If Noguchi dominates as expected (potentially 6-3, 6-4), the total will remain under the 22.5 game threshold. However, Gengel's resistance (70% win rate) introduces uncertainty about the exact score.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Rio Noguchi vs Marek Gengel
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Rio Noguchi vs Marek Gengel Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 16% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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