Fiona Ferro - Lucrezia Stefanini: our prediction
18/02/2026•11:10

#32

Fiona Ferro
2:0
6•2
6•4
Finished

#125

Lucrezia Stefanini
-
1
-
X
-
2
Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefanini Preview — Les Sables d'Olonne
Fiona Ferro, the designated favorite (odds 1.57), faces Lucrezia Stefanini (odds 2.29) in a WTA tournament in Les Sables d'Olonne. Recent statistics show that Ferro is very solid as a favorite, with a 2-set win rate of 90% in this role. Stefanini, on the other hand, has a good 2-set win rate (70%) as an outsider. No injury alerts have been reported for either player. The match should be competitive, but Ferro seems to have a slight edge.
Our Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefanini predictions
Fiona Ferro to Win
Fiona Ferro is the designated favorite (odds 1.57). Her statistics as a favorite are solid: 70% win rate overall and especially 90% wins in 2 sets when favored (excluding Grand Slams). Stefanini has a 60% loss rate in her last 10 matches. No injuries reported. The odds offer good value considering her form and status.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Both players have strong tendencies towards 2-set matches. Ferro wins 90% of her matches in 2 sets as a favorite (excluding Grand Slams). Stefanini wins 70% of her matches in 2 sets as an outsider. Their 'en3set' statistics (3-set matches) are low (10% for Ferro, 20% for Stefanini) in these respective roles. The probability of a 2-set match is high.
1.5
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a 2-set match. If the match ends in 2 sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-3), the total games would be 19. Both players' 2-set win statistics support this scenario. However, the margin is tight; close sets (7-5, 7-5 = 24 games) could exceed the limit. Confidence is therefore medium, based on the high probability of a short match.
1.58
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefanini
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Fiona Ferro vs Lucrezia Stefanini Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 25% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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