Rugby

Tennis

Jonas Forejtek - Luka Mikrut: our prediction

02/03/2026•13:15

#121

Jonas Forejtek

0:2

3•6

6•7

Finished

#195

Luka Mikrut

Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut Preview — Kigali

Jonas Forejtek (underdog) faces Luka Mikrut (favorite) in a tournament in Kigali. Mikrut is favored with odds of 1.51, but statistics show Forejtek can be dangerous, especially in winning at least one set when an underdog. No injuries reported.

Our Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut predictions

Victory for Luka Mikrut

Luka Mikrut is clearly the favorite (odds 1.51). His statistics as a favorite are solid: 60% win rate overall as favorite and 75% win rate with odds between 1.21 and 1.5. His recent form (5 wins out of 10) is slightly better than Forejtek's (4/10). No injury disrupts his status.

1.43

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Set statistics strongly support a 3-set match. Mikrut, as favorite, loses at least one set 80% of the time. Forejtek, as underdog, wins at least one set 80% of the time. Furthermore, Mikrut has 70% 3-set matches as favorite, and Forejtek has 60% 3-set matches as underdog. The probability of a straight two-set win is low.

2.38

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

A 3-set match increases the chances of exceeding 22.5 games. If each set is tight (e.g., 7-5, 4-6, 6-4), the total would be 32 games. Even with clearer sets (6-4, 4-6, 6-3), 29 games are reached. The probability of a very quick two-set match (e.g., 6-2, 6-2 = 16 games) seems low given the players' tendency to lose/win a set. However, without precise data on the average games per set, confidence remains moderate.

1.98

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jonas Forejtek vs Luka Mikrut Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jonas Forejtek	Luka Mikrut
Win \| Lose	4 6	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	30%	60%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	66%