Rugby

Tennis

Luca Nardi - Trevor Svajda: our prediction

03/03/2026•02:20

#19

Luca Nardi

1:2

6•4

6•7

3•6

Finished

#296

Trevor Svajda

Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajda Preview — BNP Paribas Open, Qualification

Luca Nardi, the clear favorite (odds 1.38), faces American Trevor Svajda in Indian Wells qualifying. Nardi, more experienced and in better recent form (6/10 wins), is expected to win, potentially in two tight sets.

Our Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajda predictions

Luca Nardi to Win

Nardi is the designated favorite (odds 1.38) with more solid form (60% win rate in last 10 matches vs 50% for Svajda). His statistics as a favorite are excellent (80% win rate). No known injury alerts. He holds a significant advantage in experience and ranking.

1.33

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 Sets (Match in 2 Sets)

Both players' statistics in non-Grand Slam tournaments (excluding major events) strongly lean towards two-set matches. Nardi wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets as a favorite, and Svajda wins 90% as an outsider. The probability of a three-set match is low (30% for Nardi, 10% for Svajda).

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 Games in the Match

With a high probability of a two-set match (see previous bet), the total number of games tends to be lower. If Nardi dominates as expected (2-0), a score like 6-4, 6-3 (19 games) or 6-3, 6-4 (19 games) is plausible. However, Svajda could resist and push some sets to a tie-break, increasing the total. Confidence is therefore medium.

1.54

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajda

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Luca Nardi vs Trevor Svajda Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Luca Nardi	Trevor Svajda
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	20%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	62%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	20%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	60%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	20%	50%

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