Rugby

Tennis

Antonia Ruzic - Qinwen Zheng: our prediction

08/03/2026•01:00

#54

Antonia Ruzic

2:0

6•4

7•5

Finished

Qinwen Zheng

Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zheng Preview — BNP Paribas Open

Antonia Ruzic, a much lower-ranked outsider, faces the favorite Qinwen Zheng, a seeded player in the WTA top 10. Recent statistics show that Zheng is very solid as a favorite (80% win rate) and that Ruzic often struggles to win as an outsider (20%). The match goes to 3 sets in 70% of Ruzic's recent matches outside the Majors, suggesting she could snatch a set.

Our Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zheng predictions

Qinwen Zheng to Win

Qinwen Zheng is the clear favorite (odds 1.29). She is seeded, ranked in the world top 10, and her statistics as a favorite are excellent: 80% wins in her last 10 matches in that role. Antonia Ruzic wins only 20% of her matches as an outsider. The gap in level and ranking is significant.

1.31

Confidence

Very high

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Historical data outside the Majors shows that 70% of Antonia Ruzic's recent matches have gone to 3 sets. As an outsider, she wins at least one set in 60% of cases. Qinwen Zheng, although the favorite, loses at least one set in 60% of her matches as a favorite. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore high.

2.62

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) increases the probability of a high total number of games. Even in case of a 2-set win by Zheng, if Ruzic manages to be competitive in one set (e.g., 6-4, 7-5), the total could exceed 22.5 games. However, a quick win by Zheng (e.g., 6-2, 6-3) is also possible, hence a medium confidence level.

2.3

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zheng

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Antonia Ruzic vs Qinwen Zheng Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Antonia Ruzic	Qinwen Zheng
Win \| Lose	3 7	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	33%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	66%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	20%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	100%	100%

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