Rugby

Tennis

Paula Badosa - Bianca Andreescu: our prediction

13/03/2026•23:25

Paula Badosa

1:2

2•6

6•3

3•6

Finished

Bianca Andreescu

Paula Badosa vs Bianca Andreescu Preview — Austin

Paula Badosa faces Bianca Andreescu in a WTA match in Austin. Both players have similar recent form, with a slight edge for Badosa based on historical statistics. No major injuries reported. The match could be tight, with a significant probability of three sets.

Our Paula Badosa vs Bianca Andreescu predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Historical statistics show both players tend to play tight matches. Badosa has 40% of her non-Slam matches in 3 sets, Andreescu 50%. Their recent form and ability to win sets as an outsider (70% for Badosa) suggest a balanced match with a high probability of three sets.

2.5

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of three sets (analysis from bet 1), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Even in two sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the threshold is close. Both players' tendency to lose sets as a favorite (60% each) supports the idea of contested sets and a high total games count.

2.1

Confidence

High

Paula Badosa to win

Badosa has a slight statistical edge (50% wins in last 10 matches vs 40% for Andreescu). She performs better as a favorite (60% wins) than Andreescu (50%). However, the difference is slim and the match should be close, justifying medium confidence.

1.45

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Paula Badosa vs Bianca Andreescu

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Paula Badosa vs Bianca Andreescu Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Paula Badosa	Bianca Andreescu
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	40%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	75%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	40%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	80%

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