Rugby

Tennis

Max Alcala Gurri - Matyas Cerny: our prediction

17/03/2026•10:05

#189

Max Alcala Gurri

2:0

6•2

Finished

#614

Matyas Cerny

Max Alcala Gurri vs Matyas Cerny Preview — Zadar

Max Alcala Gurri, the favorite with odds of 1.28, shows mixed form (3 wins in last 10 matches) but has a key statistic: when favored, he loses at least one set in 85.7% of cases. Matyas Cerny, the underdog at 3.27, is in better recent form (2 wins out of 3) and often wins a set as an underdog (66.7%). The match should be closer than the odds suggest.

Our Max Alcala Gurri vs Matyas Cerny predictions

Over 2.5 sets in the match

The statistics are very clear: Alcala Gurri, when favored, loses at least one set in 85.7% of his matches (6 out of 7 times). Furthermore, in non-Grand Slam matches, he plays 70% of his matches in 2 sets, but as a favorite, this percentage drops to 28.6% (2/7), with 71.4% of his matches going to 3 sets. Cerny, for his part, plays 66.7% of his matches in 3 sets and wins a set as an underdog in 66.7% of cases. The probability of a three-set match is therefore very high.

2.75

Confidence

Very high

Victory for Max Alcala Gurri

Despite overall mixed form, Alcala Gurri is clearly designated as the favorite by the market (odds 1.28). His favorite status is confirmed by the data. Although his performance as a favorite is not excellent (28.6% win rate), the low odds and his favorite role indicate perceived superiority. Against Cerny, who has little experience as a favorite, Alcala Gurri should prevail, even if it might be in three sets.

1.35

Confidence

High

Market signals on Max Alcala Gurri vs Matyas Cerny

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Max Alcala Gurri vs Matyas Cerny Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Max Alcala Gurri	Matyas Cerny
Win \| Lose	3 7	2 1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	28%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	10%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%