Rugby

Tennis

Roman Safiullin - Gilles Arnaud Bailly: our prediction

24/03/2026•10:30

#39

Roman Safiullin

2:0

6•1

6•4

Finished

#204

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Preview — Alicante

Roman Safiullin, the clear favourite, faces the young Belgian Gilles Arnaud Bailly. The difference in experience and level is significant. Safiullin, more solid and consistent, should control the match, but Bailly could offer resistance and win a set.

Our Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly predictions

Victory for Roman Safiullin

Safiullin is the designated favourite (odds 1.74). His statistics as a favourite (40% wins) are better than Bailly's as an outsider (50%). The difference in level and experience on the professional tour is substantial. No known injury alerts.

1.73

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets (Match in 3 sets)

Bailly has a strong tendency to play matches in 3 sets (70% of his last 10 non-Grand Slam matches). Safiullin, as a favourite, often loses a set (80% of his last 10 matches). The probability of a close match with a set for Bailly is high.

2.35

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

The prediction of a match in 3 sets (over 2.5 sets) makes over 22.5 games likely. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 7-5 = 24 games) or a match in 3 sets will easily exceed this limit. Considering the players' profiles, a high total number of games is plausible.

1.99

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Roman Safiullin vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Roman Safiullin	Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Win \| Lose	3 7	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	85%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	100%