Juan Carlos Prado - Alvaro Guillen Meza: our prediction
25/03/2026•18:10

#164

Juan Carlos Prado
2:1
4•6
6•1
7•6
Finished

#67

Alvaro Guillen Meza
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1
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X
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2
Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Preview — Sao Paulo
Tight match between Juan Carlos Prado and Alvaro Guillen Meza in Sao Paulo. Both players show identical recent form (5W/5L) and very similar statistics. Guillen Meza is the slight bookmaker favorite, but Prado has shown an ability to surprise as an underdog. A three-set match seems likely.
Our Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Meza predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that 40% of both players' recent matches (non-Grand Slam) have gone to 3 sets. Furthermore, the 'perd1set_asfav' (70% for both) and 'win1set_asoutsider' (40% Prado, 70% Guillen Meza) indicators suggest a high probability of the favorite losing a set. With tight odds (1.57 vs 2.22), a long match is expected.
2.45
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
This bet is consistent with the prediction of a three-set match. A match in two tight sets (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) totals 25 games. A three-set match, even with one easy set, often exceeds this threshold. Given the overall balance and likelihood of tight sets, the total games should be high.
1.95
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Alvaro Guillen Meza
Guillen Meza is designated the favorite (odds 1.57). His statistics as a favorite (60% wins) and as an underdog (50%) are solid. He also has a better win rate (70%) when an underdog against an opponent with odds between 1.51 and 1.80 (close to Prado's odds of 2.22). No injury information was found.
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Juan Carlos Prado vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 83% |
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