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Tom Gentzsch - Alexander Vasilev: our prediction

27/03/2026•16:40

#218

Tom Gentzsch

2:0

6•0

6•2

Finished

#796

Alexander Vasilev

Tom Gentzsch vs Alexander Vasilev Preview — Split

Tom Gentzsch faces Alexander Vasilev in an ATP match in Split. Gentzsch, the statistical favorite, shows solid form with 60% recent wins and strong performance as a favorite (80%). Vasilev, the underdog, has a similar win rate (57%) but has played fewer matches. No injuries reported. The match is expected to be close, with a tendency for Vasilev towards two-set matches.

Our Tom Gentzsch vs Alexander Vasilev predictions

Tom Gentzsch to win

Tom Gentzsch shows superior recent form (60% wins in 10 matches) and excellent performance as a favorite (80% wins). Alexander Vasilev, although solid (57% wins), has a smaller sample size (7 matches) and no recent experience as a favorite. The odds of 1.80 for Gentzsch offer value given his consistency.

1.44

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Set statistics are very clear: Vasilev has not played any match in 3 sets recently (0/7). Gentzsch played 40% of his matches in 3 sets, but against an opponent who systematically finishes in 2 sets, the probability of a two-set match is high. The odds of 1.75 are attractive for this scenario.

1.47

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Alexander Vasilev has finished 100% of his recent non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets (7/7). Tom Gentzsch finished 60% of his matches in 2 sets. A two-set win by either player is likely, reducing the total number of games. A close two-set match (e.g., 7-5, 6-4) gives 22 games, under the limit.

1.63

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Tom Gentzsch vs Alexander Vasilev

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Tom Gentzsch vs Alexander Vasilev Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Tom Gentzsch	Alexander Vasilev
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	90%	100%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	100%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	87%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	37%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	57%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	0%