Yuta Shimizu vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction
Match Preview
Tight match between Yuta Shimizu and Andre Ilagan. The odds are perfectly balanced (1.84 each), reflecting a very open encounter. Recent form statistics and performance as a favorite or outsider suggest a close contest, likely going to three sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have high statistics for losing at least one set as a favorite (70% each). Furthermore, their percentages of matches going to 3 sets (excluding Grand Slams) are significant (Shimizu 60%, Ilagan 30% overall, and 50% each as favorite). The equal odds reinforce the likelihood of a long match.
1.84
Confidence
High
Victory for Yuta Shimizu
Shimizu shows slightly better form over the last 10 matches (5W/5L vs 3W/7L for Ilagan). His win rate as a favorite (60%) is solid, and he performs well as an outsider against odds between 1.51 and 1.80 (50% wins). No injury information was found for either player. The equal odds offer value.
1.8
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although we expect three sets, statistics for winning in two sets are also present (40% for Shimizu, 70% for Ilagan overall). A three-set match can still stay under the 22.5 game threshold if some sets are not close (e.g., 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 = 20 games). Confidence is medium due to the unpredictable nature of the duel.
1.84
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 87% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 75% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 62% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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