Blake Ellis vs Naoya Honda — Prediction
31/03/2026•06:00
#132
Blake Ellis
2:1
2•6
7•6
7•6
Finished
#866
Naoya Honda
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Blake Ellis, favorite with odds of 1.49, faces Naoya Honda in the Miyazaki tournament. Ellis has strong form as a favorite (80% wins) and a tendency to win in two sets (60%). Honda, underdog, has recent struggles (25% wins). No injuries reported.
Our predictions
Blake Ellis to Win
Ellis is the favorite with low odds (1.49). His statistics as a favorite are strong (80% wins in 10 matches). He has decent recent form (50% wins in last 10 matches) and faces Honda who has poor form (25% wins in 8 matches). No injuries reported.
1.48
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 Sets
Ellis has a strong tendency to win in two sets as a favorite (60% in 10 matches). In non-Grand Slam matches, 50% of his matches end in two sets. Honda as an underdog has 62.5% of his matches ending in two sets. The probability of a two-set match is high.
1.51
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 Games
With a high probability of a two-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be limited. If Ellis dominates as expected, tight but not overly long sets are likely. However, the lack of precise data on average games makes confidence moderate.
1.76
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 2 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 57% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 62% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 0% |
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