Maximus Jones vs Fajing Sun — Prediction
31/03/2026•04:10
#295
Maximus Jones
2:0
6•2
6•1
Finished
#252
Fajing Sun
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Maximus Jones faces Fajing Sun in Miyazaki. Jones, the paper favorite (odds 1.58), shows solid form (6 wins/10 last matches) and good efficiency as a favorite. Sun, the underdog (odds 2.25), demonstrates certain resilience, often winning at least one set even as an outsider. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets.
Our predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Jones (60% of his last 10 matches went to 3 sets) and Sun (40% of his last 10 matches went to 3 sets) often play long matches. Sun often wins at least one set as an outsider (80%), and Jones often loses a set as a favorite (55.6%). The probability of a three-set match is high.
2.38
Confidence
High
Victory for Fajing Sun
Although the odds favorite, Jones only has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Sun. However, Sun shows a 70% loss rate, but his statistics as an outsider (50% wins against favorites with odds 1.21-1.5) and his ability to win sets make him dangerous. In a likely tight match, the value lies with the outsider Sun.
1.58
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
The prediction of a three-set match (over 2.5 sets) significantly increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 total games. Even a tight two-set match (e.g., 7-6, 7-5) reaches 25 games. Considering the players' profiles and the likelihood of close sets, the over 22.5 games bet is consistent with the other two predictions.
2.02
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 77% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 55% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 62% |
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