Rio Noguchi vs Tung Lin Wu — Prediction
31/03/2026•08:50

#79

Rio Noguchi
0:2
3•6
2•6
Finished

#14

Tung-Lin Wu
-
1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Rio Noguchi faces Tung-Lin Wu in an ATP match in Miyazaki. Noguchi is in better recent form (7 wins out of 10) and performs well as an outsider. Wu is the favorite according to the odds but his form is less convincing (5/10). No injuries reported. The match could be tight.
Our predictions
Rio Noguchi to win
Noguchi shows superior form (7W/3L out of 10) against Wu (5W/5L). He excels as an outsider (70% win rate) and Wu is vulnerable as a favorite (loses at least one set 40% of the time). The 1.94 odds offer value.
1.93
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets
Noguchi often wins at least one set as an outsider (70%). Wu often loses a set as a favorite (40%). Their recent stats show a high rate of 3-set matches (Noguchi 40%, Wu 30% in non-Slam events). A three-set match is likely.
2.32
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games
A three-set match increases the probability of exceeding 22.5 games. Even in two sets, if the sets are tight (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 = 22 games), the threshold can be reached. The tendency for close sets and the probability of over 2.5 sets support this bet.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 87% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 87% | 20% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 25% | 66% |
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