Milos Karol vs Mirza Basic — Prediction
28/03/2026•17:30
Milos / Mili
2:0
6•2
6•2
Finished
Mirza / Andrej
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1
-
X
-
2
Match Preview
Milos Karol faces Mirza Basic in an ATP match in Split. Karol shows slightly better form with 40% wins in the last 10 matches compared to 30% for Basic. Statistics suggest a tight match, potentially going to three sets, with a tendency for Karol to drop a set even when favored.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets when favored (70% each). Basic has 80% of his matches finished in 2 sets outside Majors. The recent form of both players is not excellent, which could lead to a less contested match in terms of sets.
1.8
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although the bet on under 2.5 sets is favored, statistics show that Karol often drops a set as a favorite (60%) and Basic has a strong tendency to drop a set as a favorite (80%). This suggests that even a 2-set match could be tight, with potentially long sets (e.g., 7-6, 6-4 = 23 games).
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Victory of Milos Karol
Karol has slightly better form (40% wins vs 30%) and better performance as a favorite (50% wins vs 20% for Basic). His statistics as an outsider (40% wins) are also better than Basic's (30%). No injury information was found for either player.
1.46
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 28% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 85% | 66% |
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